If you’re not factoring in the referee, you’re missing an edge. Nick Tedeschi breaks down the key officiating trends that matter for Round 13. Cronulla Sharks vs Manly Sea Eagles 10:00pm Friday | Ocean Protect Stadium, Sydney Over 45.5 @ $1.90 Todd Smith Cronulla are 10-5 with a 7-8 cover record Manly are 7-5 with a 6-6 cover record Faves cover at just 46% The over hits at 55% in all Smith games Night games go over at 57.1% Todd Smith is one of the leading over referees with the over particularly big in night games. The over has hit…

Origin season is upon us and the first of the impacted rounds is here with just five games and all the Origin stars missing on a weekend that still holds plenty of importance to the teams still playing. Canberra Raiders vs Dolphins 9:50pm Thursday | GIO Stadium, Canberra Dolphins +3.5 ($1.90)  The Dolphins are missing a host of players to Queensland  led by Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow while Herbie Farnworth was ruled out soon after teams were announced but no out will have as much significance in this one as the absence of Hudson Young for Canberra. The Raiders win at 57% and…

If you’re not factoring in the referee, you’re missing an edge. Nick Tedeschi breaks down the key officiating trends that matter for Round 12. Canberra Raiders vs Dolphins 9:50pm Thursday | GIO Stadium, Canberra Dolphins +3.5 @ $1.94 Todd Smith Canberra are 6-8 with a 6-8 cover record Dolphins are 7-3 with an 8-2 cover record Faves cover at just 46% The over hits at 55% in all Smith games The Dolphins have an outstanding record under Todd Smith while outsiders have a strong enough winning edge to make the Phins a play this week. Ref Lean: Dolphins +3.5 (Large)…

Magic Round is upon us with all eyes on Brisbane for three wonderful days of action where the Rugby League world comes together for a fiesta of football. Cronulla Sharks vs Canterbury Bulldogs 8:00pm Friday | Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane Under 50.5 ($1.90) Two desperate teams open up Magic Round with Cronulla and Canterbury being two of the major disappointments in 2026. The Sharks sit 10th on the ladder and a team that has long prided itself on defence has conceded 20-plus in seven of nine. The Bulldogs sit 13th having conceded 28-plus in five of their last six. In such…

Magic Round is upon us and our stats team has dug through the five post-Covid editions to see what tidbits of treasure could be found. Teams That Love Magic Round The only team to win all five Magic Round games since 2021 is Ricky Stuart’s Canberra Raiders. The Raiders covered three of those. Four of those wins have been in one-score games. Unfortunately for bettors, the Raiders have a bye this week. Newcastle have won and covered three straight Magic Round games with a bye in 2023. Penrith have won and covered four of their last five Magic Round games…

If you’re not factoring in the referee, you’re missing an edge. Nick Tedeschi breaks down the key officiating trends that matter for Round 11. Cronulla Sharks vs Canterbury Bulldogs 8:00pm Friday | Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane Cronulla -4.5 @ $1.85  Gerard Sutton  Cronulla are 11-8 with a 10-9 against the spread record  Canterbury are 5-8 with a 7-6 cover record  Favourites of 4 or more cover at 55%  Teams 13th or worse cover at 33%  Gerard Sutton is one of the biggest favourite referees in the NRL while bottom wrung teams rarely perform to market expectations on his watch.   Ref Lean: Cronulla -4.5 (Large) @ $1.85  Bet Now South Sydney…