NRL Refs Stats That Matter | Round 13

Todd Smith

• Cronulla are 10-5 with a 7-8 cover record
• Manly are 7-5 with a 6-6 cover record
• Faves cover at just 46%
• The over hits at 55% in all Smith games
• Night games go over at 57.1%

Todd Smith is one of the leading over referees with the over particularly big in night games. The over has hit in 11 of his last 15 games.

Ref Lean: Over 45.5 (Small) @ $1.90

Jarrod Cole

• Newcastle are 0-1 with a 0-1 cover record
• Parramatta have not played under Cole
• The under has hit in four of the five games Cole has officiated

We are too early into the career of Jarrod Cole to get a firm grip on his tendencies but early indicators are he is an under official.

Ref Lean: No lean

Peter Gough

• Wests Tigers are 5-12 with an 8-9 cover record
• Canterbury are 5-10 with a 5-10 cover record
• Favourites cover 42%
• The under is 10-5 in Canterbury games
• The under has hit in nine straight games

Peter Gough games have gone under in nine straight games with his slow tempo, nitpicking and pedantic nature a prime formula for low-scoring matches.

Ref Lean: Under 48.5 (Large) @ $1.90

Grant Atkins

• Melbourne are 16-13 with a 15-14 cover record
• Sydney Roosters are 19-9 with a 16-12 cover record
• The over is 19-10 in Melbourne games
• The over is 17-11 in Roosters games
• The over has hit in six of the last eight Atkins games

Both the Storm and Roosters have dominant over records under Grant Atkins while the over has been in hot form on the watch of Atkins.

Ref Lean: Over 48.5 (Large) @ $1.82

Wyatt Raymond

• Brisbane are 3-2 with a 3-2 cover record
• St George Illawarra are 1-4 with a 1-4 cover record
• Favourites of 12.5 or more cover at 67%
• The over is 4-1 in Brisbane games
• The under has hit in four of the last five Raymond games

Wyatt Raymond has been a good official for big favourites and with the Dragons dire record under him, Brisbane look a good bet laying 19.5 points.

Ref Lean: Brisbane -19.5 (Small) @ $1.90

Ashley Klein

• Canberra are 10-6 with an 11-5 cover record
• North Qld are 4-10 with a 4-10 cover record
• Favourites have covered nine of the last 10 Klein games
• Home teams cover 54%
• The over is 10-4 in North Qld games

Canberra and North Queensland have very different records under Ashley Klein while favourites have continued to cover this year.

Ref Lean: Canberra -3.5 (Large) @ $1.90

Gerard Sutton

• Penrith are 18-7 with a 15-10 cover record
• New Zealand are 3-6 with a 3-6 cover record
• Favourites cover at 54%
• Favourites in all Top 4 games cover at 38%

There are no notable leans here. Penrith have a superior record under Sutton but favourites struggle in top four battles under Klein.

Ref Lean: No lean