Hong Kong form expert Luke Middlebrook provides his thoughts on every race at the Hong Kong meeting at Happy Valley on Wednesday 4 December.
Signalled a win two starts back with a narrow defeat, though he disappointed with a ninth-place finish next time after being checked and losing momentum at the top of the straight. He has since trialled well, draws perfectly in barrier 4, and teams up with the in-form Hugh Bowman.
Selections: 2-1-9-3
Enters this race third-up for the season and appears ready to peak after two solid efforts, including an unlucky run last time when badly checked at the 150m, losing all momentum. He has since impressed in a trial and looks in fine form.
Selections: 4-5-2-3
Delivered an impressive performance on his first attempt at this course and distance, winning comfortably by over a length. He appears capable of repeating that success, provided Zac Purton can secure a smooth run from barrier 10.
Selections: 2-3-5-4
Broke through for a well-deserved win last start and returns to Class 4 this time. His subsequent impressive trial win indicates that this untapped four-year-old has found his rhythm, suggesting he can continue his progression.
Selections: 10-4-11-9
Is only a one-time winner but has been a model of consistency this season since joining David Eustace’s stable. Drawn ideally in barrier 3 for Hugh Bowman and with an abundance of speed on paper, he should get his opportunity to finish over the top in what promises to be a typically competitive Class 4 Happy Valley contest.
Selections: 4-6-12-3
Broke through for his first win last time after several consistent efforts. With James McDonald aboard and barrier 1 in his favour, he should have every chance to back it up and appears to have more to offer.
Selections: 10-4-2-12
Is a promising type chasing a hat-trick of wins after an explosive first-up victory 35 days ago. Aiming to maintain his perfect record at Happy Valley (three from three), Ryan Moore is an excellent booking to guide him.
Selections: 6-10-8-12
Caught the eye last time when closing off strongly from a wide draw. Moving into barrier 4, he should settle much closer to the pace, giving him every chance to return to winning form under James McDonald in what shapes as a particularly competitive Happy Valley contest.
Selections: 5-2-4-10
Looks set to resume his winning ways on his Derby trail. He put in a bold performance over an unsuitable 1600m first-up, running into fifth despite suffering a late check. The step up to 1800m second-up plays to his strengths, and he can solidify his standing as early Derby favourite.
Selections: 8-3-6-10