NRL Refs Stats That Matter | Round 24

Adam Gee

• Penrith are 21-2 with an 18-5 cover record
• Sydney Roosters are 17-9 with a 12-14 cover record
• The over is 13-10 in Penrith games
• The under is 15-11 in Roosters games
• The under is 15-6 in 2026

No referee has given Penrith a more suitable style than Adam Gee while the veteran whistleblower has been an extraordinary under official this year.

Ref Lean:
Penrith -1.5 @ $1.83 & Under 41.5 @ $2.02

Grant Atkins

• Manly are 12-10 with a 13-9 cover record
• The Dolphins are 7-6 with an 8-5 cover record
• Home teams cover at 58%
• The over is 17-5 in Manly games
• The over hits at 61% when there is a favourite of 8 or more

Grant Atkins is a major over official and no team has taken advantage of that more than Manly, who go over at an extraordinary clip under his whistle.

Ref Lean:
Over 50.5 @ $1.90

Ashley Klein

• Canterbury are 5-8 with a 4-9 cover record
• Souths are 11-8 with an 11-8 cover record
• Favourites cover at 55%
• The over is 12-7 in Souths games

There is not enough to push an angle with Ashley Klein this week.

Ref Lean:
No Lean

Gerard Sutton

• Cronulla are 14-8 with a 13-9 cover record
• Canberra are 8-10 with a 6-12 cover record
• Favourites of 4 or more cover at 56%
• The under is on a 12-3 run in Sutton games

Favourites are typically the play under Gerard Sutton and Canberra go as bad as any club when he is in the middle. Sutton is on a big under run so the under needs to be bet.

Ref Lean:
Cronulla -10.5 @ $1.92 & Under 52.5 @ $1.90

Todd Smith

• Parramatta are 8-8 with a 10-6 cover record
• North Qld are 7-7 with a 10-4 cover record
• Interstate favourites cover at 41%
• Interstate favourites of 4 or more cover at 36%
• The over hits at 55% in all Smith games

Todd Smith has historically favoured home favourites, particularly if the visitor is from interstate, so the value is being with the Parramatta plus.

Ref Lean:
Parramatta +5.5 @ $1.96

Wyatt Raymond

• Brisbane are 3-3 with a 3-3 cover record
• New Zealand are 6-3 with a 6-3 cover record
• The over is 5-1 in Brisbane games
• The over is 6-3 in New Zealand games
• Night games go under at 59%

The over has a strong record in Brisbane and New Zealand games under Raymond and is worth a small ticket with Raymond in the middle here.

Ref Lean:
Over 46.5 @ $1.90

Liam Kennedy

• Newcastle are 5-5 with a 4-6 cover record
• Gold Coast are 5-5 with a 5-5 cover record
• Faves of 6.5 or more cover at 55%
• The over hits at 54% when there is an interstate team

There are no leans under Liam Kennedy in this match between the Knights and the Titans.

Ref Lean:
No Lean

Peter Gough

• The Tigers are 6-13 with a 10-9 cover record
• The Dragons are 7-12 with a 10-9 cover record
• The under is 12-7 in Tigers games
• The under has hit in 13 straight Gough games

Peter Gough has officiated 13 of 14 under games this year and with the Tigers going under when he referees, we look to have another under on the cards.

Ref Lean:
Under 47.5 @ $1.98