North Queensland Cowboys vs Melbourne Storm: Predictions, Odds & Betting Tips

North Queensland Cowboys and Melbourne Storm meet at Queensland Country Bank Stadium in Round 4 of the 2026 NRL season this Saturday. Check out our preview and tips below.

North Queensland Cowboys vs Melbourne Storm Match Prediction

North Queensland Cowboys
vs
Melbourne Storm
Saturday 28th March 2026 4:35 PM

Melbourne have won 14 of the last 17 clashes against North Queensland but this has been far from a one-goer and given the start the Cowboys are getting at home, they can be bet with confidence. The Cowboys have covered eight of the last 10 against the Storm and won three of the last four meetings at Queensland Country Bank Stadium. Home underdogs of 12 or more points have covered at 71% the last four years while home underdogs of eight or more in the opening four rounds cover at 82%. Interstate favourites in the opening four rounds cover at 34%. The Storm were very poor against the Broncos and have covered just three of 10 as an interstate double digit favourite while they are 3-8 against the spread when favoured at night by 12.5 or more. The Cowboys can absolutely win this with the big start an outstanding play. Jaxon Purdue has 16 tries in 21 games as a starting centre. Braidon Burns has 13 tries in 20 games for North Queensland. Sua Fa’alogo is in elite tryscoring form with six tries in three games.

Recommended Bets

Best: North Queensland +15.5 ($1.90)

Next: North Queensland Win ($4.60)

Tryscorer: Jaxon Purdue ($16 First, $2.80 Anytime)

SGM: Jaxon Purdue Try/Braidon Burns Try/Sua Fa’alogo Try ($12.11)

North Queensland Cowboys Vs Melbourne Storm odds and markets – Saturday Round 4 2026

Here’s a quick look at the current odds and popular betting markets for the North Queensland Cowboys vs Melbourne Storm matchup.

*odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change