We have Flight Stakes tips and predictions for the Group 1 1600m race at Randwick on Saturday.
Flight Stakes odds have the three runners at the top of the market favoured to win, in what should be a competitive 3YO fillies race.
Boasting two recent wins over similar opposition, Bangkok Hottie should be tough to beat in the final leg of the Princess Series.
She has relished getting better draws, which has seen her settle close to the pace before putting them away impressively late. Despite those dominant wins, she’s not the favourite to win the Flight Stakes.
The David Payne-trained filly has enough upside to make it three wins on the bounce, and because it’s not a big field, if she is close to the pace, the back markers might find it too tough to run her down.
We priced her as the $2.50 favourite, so we’re happy to take the current odds, and she’s our top pick with Flight Stakes predictions.
| 1. Bangkok Hottie (3) J: Kerrin Mcevoy 56kg x3211 T: David Payne | |||
| Form hard to fault. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by 0.7 len in the G2 Tea Rose Stakes at this track on September 19 over 1400m defeating Striking Alibi carrying 56kg at $3.90. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by 0.5 len in the G2 Furious Stakes at this track on September 5 over 1200m defeating Chilly Girl carrying 56kg at $8.50. Courageous filly hard to stop in this vein of form. | |||
We’re not shocked to see Striking Alibi firm into favouritism. She has been finishing her races better than most, and the James McDonald favour always sees the odds firm.
She’s not our top pick to win, but she is a good chance. Her run for second behind Bangkok Hottie last start was good, but she will need the pace on up front to show her best, and it’s always harder to come from the back.
Her chances to win would have improved with a bigger field, but we’re respecting the betting move for a filly with loads of upside. She’s a former Perth-based runner who has gone to another level with Chris Waller in Sydney.
We would have loved bigger odds, but we’re not leaving her out of our Flight Stakes tips.
| 2. Striking Alibi (2) J: James McDonald 56kg 10×32 T: Chris Waller | |||
| Third-up today. Resuming ran on from midfield; 3rd of 10 in the G2 Furious Stakes at this track on September 5 over 1200m, 0.8 len behind Bangkok Hottie carrying 56kg at $21. Last start 2nd of 9 in the G2 Tea Rose Stakes at this track on September 19 over 1400m, 0.7 len behind Bangkok Hottie with 56kg at $2.70. Has been behind the eight ball all prep and set to deliver over the mile. | |||
One of the most interesting runners in the field is former Kiwi filly De Armas, who was armed with good speed as a 2YO, and it’s only a matter of time before Waller figures her out.
She hit the line well enough for fifth fresh-up, and she was always going to need that run. She is being thrown in the deep end here, which is a concern, but there was a strong betting move for her once markets went up on Wednesday.
She opened at $34 before firming quickly, so there is confidence with punters, and she could boost payouts in a small field.
| 5. De Armas (1) J: Zac Lloyd 56kg 1x4x5 T: Chris Waller | |||
| Racing second-up today. Last outing eased back early on 5th of 10 in a 3yo Bm68 at Warwick Farm on September 23 over 1200m, on a slow track; 3.5 len behind Blessed Eagle carrying 61kg at $71. At only start last preparation 4th of 14 in the LR Karaka Millions 2yo at Ellerslie on January 24 over 1200m, on a slow track; 3.5 len behind Dream Roca carrying 55kg at $10. Still early in the prep and can run into the minor money. | |||
Punters get value odds with our Flight Stakes SRM, which includes our three selected runners.
We have Bangkok Hottie Top 2, Striking Alibi Top 2, and De Armas Top 4, which pays $6.00 for our three-runner SRM.
It’s not a big field, so there are only Top 4 options with SRM markets. We have Bangkok Hottie and Striking Alibi running the quinella, and De Armas could make late ground to finish third or fourth.
| 1. Bangkok Hottie (3) J: Kerrin Mcevoy 56kg x3211 T: David Payne | |||
| Form hard to fault. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by 0.7 len in the G2 Tea Rose Stakes at this track on September 19 over 1400m defeating Striking Alibi carrying 56kg at $3.90. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by 0.5 len in the G2 Furious Stakes at this track on September 5 over 1200m defeating Chilly Girl carrying 56kg at $8.50. Courageous filly hard to stop in this vein of form. | |||
| 2. Striking Alibi (2) J: James McDonald 56kg 10×32 T: Chris Waller | |||
| Third-up today. Resuming ran on from midfield; 3rd of 10 in the G2 Furious Stakes at this track on September 5 over 1200m, 0.8 len behind Bangkok Hottie carrying 56kg at $21. Last start 2nd of 9 in the G2 Tea Rose Stakes at this track on September 19 over 1400m, 0.7 len behind Bangkok Hottie with 56kg at $2.70. Has been behind the eight ball all prep and set to deliver over the mile. | |||
| 5. De Armas (1) J: Zac Lloyd 56kg 1x4x5 T: Chris Waller | |||
| Racing second-up today. Last outing eased back early on 5th of 10 in a 3yo Bm68 at Warwick Farm on September 23 over 1200m, on a slow track; 3.5 len behind Blessed Eagle carrying 61kg at $71. At only start last preparation 4th of 14 in the LR Karaka Millions 2yo at Ellerslie on January 24 over 1200m, on a slow track; 3.5 len behind Dream Roca carrying 55kg at $10. Still early in the prep and can run into the minor money. | |||
Latest Flight Stakes 2026 Odds
Flight Stakes 2026 Odds
| 1. Bangkok Hottie (3) J: Kerrin Mcevoy 56kg x3211 T: David Payne | |||
| Form hard to fault. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by 0.7 len in the G2 Tea Rose Stakes at this track on September 19 over 1400m defeating Striking Alibi carrying 56kg at $3.90. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by 0.5 len in the G2 Furious Stakes at this track on September 5 over 1200m defeating Chilly Girl carrying 56kg at $8.50. Courageous filly hard to stop in this vein of form. | |||
| 2. Striking Alibi (2) J: James McDonald 56kg 10×32 T: Chris Waller | |||
| Third-up today. Resuming ran on from midfield; 3rd of 10 in the G2 Furious Stakes at this track on September 5 over 1200m, 0.8 len behind Bangkok Hottie carrying 56kg at $21. Last start 2nd of 9 in the G2 Tea Rose Stakes at this track on September 19 over 1400m, 0.7 len behind Bangkok Hottie with 56kg at $2.70. Has been behind the eight ball all prep and set to deliver over the mile. | |||
| 3. Global Goal (5) J: Dylan Gibbons 56kg 1×33 T: John Sargent | |||
| Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 10 in the G2 Silver Shadow Stakes at this track on August 22 over 1200m, on a slow track; 3.5 len behind Pembrey carrying 55kg at $14. Last start 3rd of 9 in the G2 Tea Rose Stakes at this track on September 19 over 1400m, 1.1 len behind Bangkok Hottie with 56kg at $7.50. Terrific chance to continue the strong form. | |||
| 4. Queen’s Gamble (7) J: Tommy Berry 56kg 22116 T: Matthew Smith | |||
| Last start 6th of 9 in the G2 Tea Rose Stakes at this track on September 19 over 1400m, 4 len behind Bangkok Hottie carrying 56kg at $13. The start before that won by 3.5 len in a F&M Bm72 at Warwick Farm on September 2 over 1400m defeating Samarelle carrying 56kg at $2.25. Kept up to the mark with a tick over trial and place best. | |||
| 5. De Armas (1) J: Zac Lloyd 56kg 1x4x5 T: Chris Waller | |||
| Racing second-up today. Last outing eased back early on 5th of 10 in a 3yo Bm68 at Warwick Farm on September 23 over 1200m, on a slow track; 3.5 len behind Blessed Eagle carrying 61kg at $71. At only start last preparation 4th of 14 in the LR Karaka Millions 2yo at Ellerslie on January 24 over 1200m, on a slow track; 3.5 len behind Dream Roca carrying 55kg at $10. Still early in the prep and can run into the minor money. | |||
| 6. Sumac (6) J: Jason Collett 56kg 87×67 T: Lee & Cherie Curtis | |||
| Third-up today. First-up 6th of 11 in a Super 3yo Mdn at Warwick Farm on September 2 over 1400m, 2.5 len behind Sing Your Song with 55kg at $13. Second-up got back early 7th of 9 in the G2 Tea Rose Stakes at this track on September 19 over 1400m, 5 len behind Bangkok Hottie carrying 56kg at $151. Likely to find this out of reach. | |||
| 7. Parisest Magic (4) J: Rachel King 56kg 39×4 T: Alexandre Lemarie | |||
| Second-up. First-up after three months 4th of 10 in a Super Mdn at Hawkesbury on September 10 over 1300m, 4 len behind Call Me Coach with 56.5kg at $31. Previously second-up ran last of 9 in a 2yo Hcp at Rosehill on May 30 over 1300m, on rain affected going; 10 len behind Tron Bolt carrying 54kg at $14. Making up the numbers here. | |||