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NRL Refs Stats That Matter | Finals Week 2

NRL Refs Stats That Matter | Finals Week 2

If you’re not factoring in the referee, you’re missing an edge. Nick Tedeschi breaks down the key officiating trends that matter for Week 2 of the NRL Finals.

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NRL

Allianz Stadium • Saturday 19th Sep

Sydney Roosters
$1.46
vs
Cronulla Sharks
$2.75
NRL odds correct as of 17/09/2026 and subject to change.
Sydney Roosters
vs
Cronulla Sharks
9:50pm Saturday | Allianz Stadium, Sydney
Cronulla +7.5 @ $1.90 & Under 45.5 @ $1.90

Adam Gee

  • The Roosters are 18-10 with a 13-15 cover record
  • The Sharks are 15-4 with a 16-3 cover record
  • The under is 16-9 in 2026
  • The under hits 56% when there is a favourite of 4 or more

Cronulla have a ridiculously good record under Adam Gee while he has been a big under official this year.

Ref Lean: Cronulla +7.5 @ $1.90 & Under 45.5 @ $1.90

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NRL

Eden Park • Sunday 20th Sep

New Zealand Warriors
$1.48
vs
Newcastle Knights
$2.70
NRL odds correct as of 17/09/2026 and subject to change.
New Zealand Warriors
vs
Newcastle Knights
6:05pm Sunday | Eden Park, Auckland
Under 44.5 @ $1.90

Ashley Klein

  • The Warriors are 3-5 with a 4-4 cover record
  • The Knights are 6-11 with an 8-9 cover record
  • Favourites cover at 55%
  • Favourites of 6.5 or more cover at 59%
  • The over is 11-6 in Knights games
  • The under is 7-2 in Klein’s last nine finals games

The under has been commonplace in Klein officiated finals of late so looks a bet despite the over being big when the Knights play.

Ref Lean: Under 44.5 @ $1.90

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