We didn’t expect Wales to be so underrated against South Africa this week. It’s going to be a tough game from the Europeans, especially at altitude, but 40.5 points is a huge margin, and Wales has played well enough to cover the spread. They didn’t play too badly against Argentina last week, and South Africa could fall victim to taking their foot off the gas. They didn’t play overly well against Scotland when winning 42-28, and if there are only 14 points between them and Scotland, there shouldn’t be 40 points between South Africa and Wales. This pick is purely based on numbers, so take the underdogs at +40.5.
South Africa vs Wales Odds & Popular Betting Markets
Here’s a quick look at the current odds and popular betting markets for the South Africa vs Wales matchup.
*odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change
| Team | Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| South Africa 13+ | 1.06 | Bet Now |
| South Africa 1 – 12 | 9.00 | Bet Now |
| Wales 1 – 12 | 21.00 | Bet Now |
| Wales 13+ | 41.00 | Bet Now |
| Draw | 61.00 | Bet Now |
Nations Championship odds correct as of 17/07/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 19/07/2026 3:40am NZST.