NRL Refs Stats That Matter | Round 14

Adam Gee

• Manly are 11-10 with a 9-12 cover record
• Souths are 8-7 with a 9-6 cover record
• The under is 13-8 in Manly games
• The under is 11-4 in Souths games
• The under is 9-3 in 2026
• The under hits at 54.4%when there is a favourite of 4 or more

Adam Gee has been an incredible under bet official this year with the under hitting at 75% and both teams have big under records.

Ref Lean: Under 50.5 (Large) @ $1.90

Ashley Klein

• Melbourne are 15-10 with a 12-13 cover record
• Newcastle are 4-9 with a 4-9 cover record
• Favourites have covered 10 of the last 11 Klein games
• The over is 9-4 in Newcastle games

Ashley Klein is an elite favourite referee at present and Newcastle have a dire record under his whistle.

Ref Lean: Melbourne -4.5 (Large) @ $1.98

Gerard Sutton

• Canberra are 7-9 with a 5-11 cover record
• Sydney Roosters are 9-11 with an 8-12 cover record
• Favourites cover at 54%
• Home underdogs cover at just 44%

The Sydney Roosters look a good bet in this one with Gerard Sutton the top favourite official in the NRL, taking a particular stance against home underdogs.

Ref Lean: Sydney Roosters -2.5 (Small) @ $1.90

Wyatt Raymond

• North Queensland are 2-2 with a 2-2 cover record
• Dolphins are 3-1 with a 2-2 cover record
• The over hits at 55.6% when there is a home underdog

There are no angles in this one with Wyatt Raymond presenting few angles this week.

Ref Lean: No Lean

Jarrod Cole

• Brisbane have not played a game under Cole
• Gold Coast are 0-1 with a 0-1 cover record
• The under hits at 83.3% in all Cole games

We are only in the fledgling days of his top grade career but Jarrod Cole has been a very big under ref in limited showings.

Ref Lean: Under 51.5 (Large) @ $1.96

Grant Atkins

• Wests Tigers are 5-7 with a 7-5 cover record
• Penrith are 12-6 with a 10-8 cover record
• Home dogs cover at 60%
• The under is 17-1 in Penrith games
• The over has hit in six of the last nine Atkins games

Penrith have an extraordinary under record under Grant Atkins while home underdogs are always a bet when he has the whistle.

Ref Lean: Wests Tigers +12.5 (Small) @ $1.88, Under 49.5 (Large) @ $1.90

Liam Kennedy

• Cronulla are 3-1 with a 3-1 cover record
• St George Illawarra are 3-3 with a 4-2 cover record
• Bottom five teams cover at 42%
• Day games go over at 54.5%
• The under hits at 61% when a bottom five team plays

There is not a huge edge in this one but bottom five teams do struggle on Kennedy’s watch so the Sharks look like a small play.

Ref Lean: Cronulla -11.5 (Small) @ $1.90

Todd Smith

• Canterbury are 4-5 with a 4-5 cover record
• Parramatta are 8-7 with a 9-6 cover record
• The over is 6-3 in Canterbury games
• The over is 10-5 in Parramatta games
• The over hits at 55% in all Smith games

Todd Smith is one of the top over refs in the NRL and both teams have excellent over records when he is in the middle.

Ref Lean: Over 50.5 (Big) @ $1.90