LA Rams +1.5 (at Seattle)
Sean McVay has incredibly covered 17 of 20 games in December and 12 of 18 against division rivals Seattle.
LA Chargers +2.5 (at Dallas)
Justin Hebert has covered 13 of 19 as a road underdog while Dallas have covered just 13 of 32 at home off a defeat.
NY Giants +3 (v Minnesota)
The Vikings are a monumental lay with teams under .500 off back-to-back games of 30-plus 9-17 against the spread while rookie QBs on the road after Week 10 cover at just 43%.
Jacksonville +3.5 (at Denver)
Teams on win streaks of 11-plus games like Denver are an awful 14-36-2 against the spread while the Jags have covered 10 of 14 off a double digit win.
The already-eliminated Chiefs will play out the string without Patrick Mahomes having already lost seven games as a favourite. The Chiefs have covered just three of 10 against teams who win a quarter or fewer of their games.
Under 40.5 NY Jets-New Orleans
Nine of the last 10 Saints games have gone under the total while the under is 41-24 in Saints game since 2022.
Over 49.5 LA Chargers-Dallas
The over is 10-4 in Cowboys games this year while it is 44-24 Dallas home games since 2018.
Over 43.5 Minnesota-NY Giants
The over is 8-3 this season when the Giants start either Jaxson Dart or Jameis Winston under centre.
LA Rams +1.5 (at Seattle)
Sean McVay has incredibly covered 17 of 20 games in December and 12 of 18 against division rivals Seattle.
Washington +6.5 (v Philadelphia)
Teams off a home shutout win like the Eagles are 16-23-1 against the spread while Jalen Hurts is 1-5 against the number on the road in December or later.
Green Bay -0.5 (at Chicago)
The Bears have covered just nine of 28 division games while rookie head coaches like Chicago’s Ben Johnson cover just 41% off a win.
Baltimore -2.5 (v New England)
Lamar Jackson is a perfect 16-0 in December in the NFL while home favourites of less than a touchdown on Sunday Night Football are 61-42-1 against the spread.
The Chargers and Giants are listed amongst the best bets while the Titans are the top underdog play of the week and can be bet getting a field goal or more. Tampa Bay have not covered their last six while Carolina have covered six straight off a loss making the Panthers the bet.
The Jags are one of the bets of the week. Teams off comeback wins of 14-plus are 59-78 against the spread so happy to be all over the Cardinals. The Raiders have been awful this year but teams off being shut out are 35-17-3 against the spread over the last decade.
Rams TE Colby Parkinson has been thriving of late with six touchdowns the last six weeks and will see more targets with Davante Adams sidelined.
Tetairoa McMillan has four touchdowns in his last four. Wan’dale Robinson is Jaxson Dart’s favourite target and has two scores in his last three games. Tony Pollard has been a beast the last two weeks with 39 carries for 265 yards and three touchdowns.
Josh Jacobs has run for 70-plus yards in five of his last six. D’Andre Swift has gone for 125, 63 and 98 the last three weeks. Kyle Monangai has been outstanding with two 100-yards games in his last six.