Denver -9 (v Las Vegas)
Home teams cover at 61% Week 9 and beyond in Thursday Night Football with home favourites on Thursday of seven or more covering at 64%.
Atlanta +6.5 (v Indianapolis in Germany)
Teams off five or more turnovers cover at 33.3% while those away from home are on an awful 3-19 against the spread run so this is a week to take on the Colts.
NY Giants +4.5 (at Chicago)
Favourites of three or more off scoring 45-plus are a diabolical 11-26 against the spread at their next start, signalling trouble for Bears bettors.
Detroit -8 (at Washington)
Detroit have covered an insane 12 straight off a loss, making them the premier bounceback team in the NFL, while teams with a win percentage of 60% off a loss against teams on a losing streak cover at 62%.
Teams heading into their bye against a division opponent cover at 69.1% making the Saints value at the line and as a head-to-head proposition.
Under 43 Denver-Las Vegas
The under is 22-5 when Las Vegas are a road underdog against a division opponent while it is 18-6 in Denver’s last 24 primetime games.
Under 49.5 LA Rams-San Francisco
The under hits at 58% when divisional teams meet and the total is north of 44.5 points.
Under 44.5 Philadelphia-Green Bay
The under is 12-3-1 when the Eagles play Monday Night Football while the under is 20-12 in Jalen Hurts’ last 32 road games.
Denver -9 (v Las Vegas)
Home teams cover at 61% Week 9 and beyond in Thursday Night Football with home favourites on Thursday of seven or more covering at 64%.
LA Chargers -3 (at Pittsburgh)
Home favourites of less than a touchdown cover at 59% on Sunday Night Football while home teams off a win on Sunday Night Football cover at 58%.
Under 44.5 Philadelphia-Green Bay
The under is 12-3-1 when the Eagles play Monday Night Football while the under is 20-12 in Jalen Hurts’ last 32 road games.
New Orleans are the best underdog of the week while the Giants are listed in the best bets. The Browns are a play with road favourites out of a bye covering at 60%.
Arizona cover at 64% when an underdog. The Rams are 13-1 against the spread in road in-season rematches. Detroit are an elite bounceback team with 12 straight covers.
Rookie Jaxson Dart is proving himself an elite scrambler. He has five touchdowns in his six starts including the last four.
Allen has rushed for seven touchdowns this year including four the last two weeks. Puka Nacua has scored in three of his last four games. Sam LaPorta has scored in three of his last four.
Smith-Njigba has hit 100 yards in six of eight games this season including his last four. Elijah Arroyo has six catches for 71 yards in his last two games. AJ Barner has topped 20 yards in six of his last seven.