The Dockers extended their win streak to four games with a narrow win over the Kangaroos while the Bombers lost every quarter in a 95-point thumping at the hands of the Cats. The Bombers have lost their last four games on the road and have compiled a 2-6 record as an away underdog in the last year. The Dockers have won 8 of the last 11 meetings as the home team in this series and have successfully covered the line in 5 of the last 7 as a home favourite. The Under is 4-0 in the Dockers last four games leading into this one and 3-0 in the Bombers last three road games. The visitors will find it difficult to keep the scoreboard ticking over.
An average winning margin of 50.4 points during their current 5-game win streak emphasis the Cats dominance in the last month. The Lions have fallen behind the Cats after suffering a second consecutive loss but can reclaim second spot with a win here. They will need to overcome a huge hurdle to do so as the Cats have won the last 13 meetings between the two at GMHBA Stadium. The Cats have a 67% success rate in home games played in the last year but the Lions with the start could be a play as they are perfect 5-0 at the line in their last 5 as a road underdog. The Over has hit in the last two clashes and in each of the Cats previous four games played under lights. The Lions will need to take a lead into the final term if they are going to win as the Cats have won the 4th quarter in 13 of 14 games played this season.
The Kangaroos made a late surge but fell one goal shy of posting back-to-back wins for the first time this season. In contrast, the Blues have won consecutive games since their bye to keep in touch with the top 8. They are well positioned to extend their run having won their last 5 games against the Kangaroos. History suggests they will struggle to cover the start as they are 1-5 at the line in their last 6 as a home favourite while the Roos have a 67% strike rate at the line as an away underdog in the last 12 months. The Over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings with the Blues averaging 123.6ppg in the last 5 between them. Look for the home team to push the tempo in an attempt to blow the contest wide open.
Defence was the key to the Swans success last week as they limited the Tigers to 4 goals for the match! It was an incredible effort when you consider they conceded 130+ in their previous two outings but the Power are no strangers to low scoring games. The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in this series with 170+ total match points in only 1 of the last 9 clashes. The Power have won 6 of their last 8 as a home favourite while the Swans have struggled in this spot having claimed the points just once in their last 6 attempts as an away outsider. Port will need to be careful late as only 19% of their points have come in the final term. They have been outscored by their opposition in the 4th quarter in 11 of 13 games this season.
The Pies won an epic on the King’s Birthday and the week off came at the ideal time. Meanwhile, the Saints were thumped by the Bulldogs and have now lost 7 of their last 9. The Pies have lost on three times in their last 15 as the betting favourite in this matchup and have successfully covered the line in 4 of the last 6 as a home fav. The Under is 3-0 in the last 3 clashes hosted by the Pies, but it is worth noting that the winning team has discord 100+ points in 4 of the last 5 between them played at Marvel Stadium. Moreover, the Over is 5-0 in the last 5 encounters played at night and if the Saints are stuck chasing points they could leave themselves exposed. The Pies 210% third term scoring percentage is the best in the competition by a big margin and is the period they are expected to kick clear in this one
The Giants are coming off a road win over the Lions and have the opportunity of winning consecutive games for a fourth time this season. The Suns are coming off back-to-back losses but were winners in their previous two games this season following a bye. The Giants have won and covered the line in the last 4 meetings and dating back are 8-1 in the last 9 battles as a home favourite. The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings, 4-0 in the Suns last 4 away games and 3-0 in the Giants last 3 at ENGIE Stadium. The trio of Jones, Greene and King have kicked the opening goal twice each for their respective teams this season and are all good value in the first goal kicker market.
The Bulldogs kept in touch with the top 8 courtesy of a huge win over the Saints and are heavily favoured to build on the back of that result. They have won and covered the line in their last 3 battles against the Tigers but will be aware of the Tigers rest advantage. The Tigers are facing a 12th consecutive loss away from home and have covered the line in 6 of their last 19 (32%) games following a loss. The Bulldogs on the other hand have won 7 of their last 9 as a home favourite and have covered the line in 67% of those games. The Under is 9-0 in the Tigers last 9 (4-0 in their last 4 away games) and highlights their struggles in front of goal ranking last in points scored.