We lost a handful of seeds from the top half in the 2nd round including De Minaur, Mensik and Davidovich Fokina.
No need for tournament organisers to hit the panic button just yet as Sinner, Djokovic and Zverev made it through.
All three have opened incredibly short in the market for their respective matches with the German having the most difficult opponent today.
This could be the best bet of the day. Sinner was in cruise control in his straight sets win over Gasquet and is 3-0 lifetime against Lehecka. He is yet to lose a set against the Czech and was a 6-4 6-2 winner in their only other clash on clay. That was a Challenger Tour level when Sinner was still a teenager and long before he developed into the number 1 player in the world. Sinner’s defence and consistency from the baseline means that only a handful of players on the planet can cause his any trouble. Lehecka is not one of those players.
The noise around Joao Fonseca is getting louder by the minute. In what is only his second Grand Slam appearance, the teenager is into the 3rd Round. Torched Hurkacz in the opening round who is a former top 10 player and runner-up to Djokovic in Geneva last week before coming up clutch in the big movements against a Frenchman last time out. Draper on the other hand had lapses against Monfils and was constantly forcing things in that match. Made far too many unforced errors off the forehand wing and now faces a player who possesses immense power. Expecting them to trade blows for 4+ hours in a match that will include multiple breakers. The question mark for the teenager will be his conditioning if this one goes the distance.
Zverev was slow out of the blocks against De Jong and it cost him the opening set. He now takes on a clay court specialist who has won his last 7 matches on this surface. The Italian has beaten some handy players during that stretch including Rublev, Davidovich Fokina and Cilic. Zverev’s success on this surface in the last 12+ months has been on the back of his ability to hold serve. Has won more than 60% of 2nd serve points so far in the tournament but I have than number falling to 50% against a player who attacks his opponents’ second serves. Confident that Cobolli wins at least one set and if Zverev goes into his shell, the Italian could cause an upset.
Value Bet: Cobolli WIN ($4.40)
The gap in experience between these two men couldn’t be any bigger. This is only the second Grand Slam appearance for Misolic who has fallen short in the qualifiers in 7 of his last 9 attempts. He is fresh off a five set epic against Shapovalov and has never had to back up from a match of this magnitude. Djokovic on the other hand has every angle covered from preparation to recover and tactics. Those who have been able to stay with Novak in the past either have a big serve or the ability to hit clean winners from the baseline. Misolic does not fall into either category.
Sinner v Lehecka: Sinner -7.5 ($1.91)
Rublev v Fils: Fils WIN ($2.40)
Bublik v Rocha: Bublik -4.5 ($1.73)
Fonseca v Draper: Over 38.5 games ($1.83)
Zverev v Cobolli: Cobolli To Win A Set – YES ($1.62)
Griekspoor v Quinn: Under 38.5 games ($1.91)
Norrie v Fearnley: Fearnley WIN ($1.78)
Misolic v Djokovic: Djokovic -8.5 ($2.10)