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2024 NFL Tips & Preview | Conference Championships

2024 NFL Tips & Preview | Conference Championships

We are down to four in the NFL with a stunner in the NFC Championship Game and an absolute humdinger in the AFC Championship clash.

Philadelphia Eagles
vs
Washington Commanders
9:00am, Monday | Lincoln Financial Field

Line

Washington +6
Underdogs are 59-37 against the spread since 2017 and went 4-0 against the number last weekend. Road teams are 18-11-1 against the spread when a home team is favoured in the third meeting of the year.

Total

Under 47.5
The under hits at 58% under Shawn Hochuli, who has been handed this game. The under is 11-8 in Eagles games hitting in six of their last eight.

Touchdown

Dallas Goedert ($16 First, $3.90 Anytime)
Goedert has been a beast since returning from injury, pulling in four catches in each of his last three games. Over that stretch he has one touchdown and was pulled down at the one last week. Looks a huge price as arguably Jalen Hurts’ most reliable receiver.

SGM

Saquon Barkley Over 126.5 Rush Yards/Dallas Goedert Over 36.5 Receiving Yards/Dyami Brown Over 43.5 Receiving Yards ($7.16)
Barkley has been a beat all season and has topped 150 rush yards in three of his last four. Dallas Goedert has over 47 yards receiving since returning from injury. Dyami Brown is the clear WR2 for the Commanders over the playoffs with 11 catches for 187 yards in their two playoff games.

Kansas City Chiefs
vs
Buffalo Bills
12:30pm, Monday | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Line

Kansas City -2
Patrick Mahomes has an extraordinary record as an underdog or when favoured by less than a field goal, going 27-9-1 against the spread. In home games in cold temperatures too, Mahomes is 23-2.

Total

Over 47.5
The over is 13-6 in games officiated by Clete Blakeman’s crew with either Mahomes or Allen playing. The over is also 5-1 when the Bulls are on the road and 12-5 when they are an underdog.

Touchdown

Xavier Worthy ($12 First, $3.05 Anytime)
Worthy played more snaps than any other skill position player for the Chiefs last week. He is used in both the running and passing game. He has three touchdowns in his last five games. He is a very nice TD play.

SGM

Travis Kelce 6+ Receptions/Dawson Knox Over 16.5 Receiving Yards/James Cook Over 55.5 Rush Yards
Travis Kelce flicks the switch in playoffs and comes off a seven-catch, 117-yard game. Dawson Knox has 20-plus yards in six of his last nine. James Cook has 53 or more yards on the ground in five of his last six.