Week 11 gets underway with a cracking NFC East matchup between the Commanders and the Eagles and features a ton of stunners including the always fierce Ravens and Steelers and an all-important Packers and Bears NFC North matchup.
Philadelphia -4 (v Washington)
Thursday Night Football home teams off four straight wins are 11-3 against the spread while the Commanders cover just 34.9% against division rivals.
Green Bay -5.5 (at Chicago)
Green Bay have won and covered 10 straight against Chicago while road favourites out of a bye against a division rival cover at 67.3%. Great play.
Jacksonville +14 (at Detroit)
Favourites off giving up five or more turnover are 7-22-1 against the number while pre-bye underdogs of seven or more like the Jags cover at a very impressive 68.8%.
Cincinnati +1.5 (at LA Chargers)
This is a great spot for the Bengals with Cincinnati 26-9 against the spread off a road loss while they have covered 15 of 19 against teams with a win record north of 67%.
Dallas have been completely busted with Dak Prescott now out for the year. There is plenty happening in Big D though and this is a handy spot for them. Favourites of seven or more on Monday Night Football cover at just 33.3% while teams of four-plus losses cove at 65.1%. Dallas should cover and can win.
Over 40.5 Green Bay-Chicago
The over is 23-9 when the Packers are favoured on the road while the over is 16-10 when Matt Emerflus is off a loss.
Under 44.5 Cleveland-New Orleans
The under is 15-6 when the Browns under Kevin Stefanski have played a losing team in their last 21 so keen on the Browns defence to keep this one low-scoring.
Over 48 Seattle-San Francisco
The over is 8-2 when Brock Purdy plays a division rival while it is 19-6 when Seattle plays a team with a better record.
Philadelphia -4 (v Washington)
Thursday Night Football home teams off four straight wins are 11-3 against the spread while the Commanders cover just 34.9% against division rivals.
Cincinnati +1.5 (at LA Chargers)
This is a great spot for the Bengals with Cincinnati 26-9 against the spread off a road loss while they have covered 15 of 19 against teams with a win record north of 67%.
Dallas @ $3.90 (v Houston)
Dallas have been completely busted with Dak Prescott now out for the year. There is plenty happening in Big D though and this is a handy spot for them. Favourites of seven or more on Monday Night Football cover at just 33.3% while teams of four-plus losses cove at 65.1%. Dallas should cover and can win.
The Packers and Jags are listed in the best bets of the week. The Colts look a great bet with Indianapolis 30-10 against the spread off a double digit loss.
The NFC West total was listed amongst the best totals for Week 11. Denver are 21-5 against the spread off scoring 14 or fewer so are in a super bounceback spot against the Falcons. The Bills are 14-3 against the spread when favoured by less than three under Sean McDermott so look a bet to win against the unbeaten Chiefs.
Rashod Bateman is an underrated receiver for the Ravens who is the primary deep threat for a team scoring at will. He has four touchdowns this season- three in the last six weeks. He has at least four targets in all but one game. Love this price.
The Packers are putting on a rushing masterclass and Jacobs now has three touchdowns in his last three outings. Aaron Jones has just three touchdowns this year but is due some positive regression. De’von Achane has three touchdowns in his last three and is a nice bet to get across with the Dolphins heavily favoured.