We have King Charles III Stakes tips and predictions for the Group 1 1609m race at Randwick on Saturday.
King Charles III Stakes odds have Autumn Glow at short odds, as she looks to add another win to her record.
Autumn Glow is our clear top pick after producing two outstanding wins this preparation. She returned in the Group 1 Winx Stakes over 1400m at Randwick on 22 August, defeating Sheza Alibi by 1.4 lengths. She then stepped up to the mile in the Group 2 7 Stakes on 19 September and won by another 1.3 lengths, beating Aeliana.
What stands out is how effectively she’s handled the step up in distance. Her latest victory showed that she can sustain her finishing effort over 1600m, which is exactly what she’ll need in this Group 1 contest.
Barrier 4 should allow James McDonald to settle her comfortably, and we’re hoping she doesn’t have to do much chasing behind Pride of Jenni. That’s the only thing that could stop her, but McDonald won’t let the mare out of her sights.
| 5. Autumn Glow (4) J: James McDonald 57kg 13×11 T: Chris Waller | |||
| Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up favourite; won by 1.4 len in the G1 Winx Stakes at this track on August 22 over 1400m on a soft track defeating Sheza Alibi with 57kg at $1.70. Last start favourite; won by 1.3 len in the G2 7 Stakes at this track on September 19 over 1600m defeating Aeliana carrying 57kg at $1.16. Champion mare who will need to be on her game. | |||
Ceolwulf is included in our King Charles III Stakes predictions at $3.60. He finished second in the Epsom Handicap over 1600m at Randwick on 3 October, beaten 1.75 lengths by God’s Window while carrying 59kg, which was a big effort.
Before that, he finished third behind Autumn Glow in the 7 Stakes, beaten 1.5 lengths. Both performances indicate that he’s holding his form well against quality opposition.
The inside barrier is a significant advantage. Chad Schofield should be able to save ground throughout the race, and Ceolwulf’s established 1600m form makes him a big danger.
He’s a two-time winner of the King Charles III Stakes, so it’s his race, and he can’t be overlooked because of that.
| 1. Ceolwulf (1) J: Chad Schofield 59kg x5232 T: Joseph Pride | |||
| Recent form sound. Most recently 2nd of 16 in the G1 Epsom Handicap at this track on October 3 over 1600m, on a slow track; 1.75 len behind God’s Window with 59kg at $9.50. The race before that 3rd in a small field in the G2 7 Stakes at this track on September 19 over 1600m, 1.5 len behind Autumn Glow carrying 59kg at $15. Ready to win and ticks plenty of boxes today. | |||
We’re taking a chance on God’s Window at around $31.00. His latest performance makes him an interesting runner at the odds, particularly because he has already beaten one of the leading chances over the same distance.
God’s Window won the Group 1 Epsom Handicap at Randwick on 3 October, defeating Ceolwulf by 1.75 lengths over 1600m. That was a big finish to win, and although he carried only 50kg, it was still an excellent win.
He will need to improve to beat the likes of Autumn Glow and Ceolwulf at the weights. He’s giving the best horse in Australia weight, but based on his Epsom win, he could achieve the feat.
| 2. God’s Window (2) J: Siena Grima 59kg 23×51 T: Chris Waller | |||
| Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 5th of 13 in a G2 Theo Marks Stakes at Rosehill on September 12 over 1300m, 2.25 len behind Skyhook with 53kg at $41. Second-up was well back until straightening; raced back then made ground from the turn; won by 1.75 len in the G1 Epsom Handicap at this track on October 3 over 1600m on a rain affected track defeating Ceolwulf with 50kg at $26. Has gone to a new level but tested in this grade. | |||
Punters get value odds with our King Charles III Stakes SRM, which includes our three selected runners.
We have Autum Glwo to Win, Ceolwulf Top 2, and God’s Window Top 3, which pays $9.00 for our three-runner SRM.
We’re picking Autumn Glow and Ceolwulf to run the quinella, and if God’s Window can finish in the Top 3, punters get nice odds for the same-race multi.
| 1. Ceolwulf (1) J: Chad Schofield 59kg x5232 T: Joseph Pride | |||
| Recent form sound. Most recently 2nd of 16 in the G1 Epsom Handicap at this track on October 3 over 1600m, on a slow track; 1.75 len behind God’s Window with 59kg at $9.50. The race before that 3rd in a small field in the G2 7 Stakes at this track on September 19 over 1600m, 1.5 len behind Autumn Glow carrying 59kg at $15. Ready to win and ticks plenty of boxes today. | |||
| 2. God’s Window (2) J: Siena Grima 59kg 23×51 T: Chris Waller | |||
| Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 5th of 13 in a G2 Theo Marks Stakes at Rosehill on September 12 over 1300m, 2.25 len behind Skyhook with 53kg at $41. Second-up was well back until straightening; raced back then made ground from the turn; won by 1.75 len in the G1 Epsom Handicap at this track on October 3 over 1600m on a rain affected track defeating Ceolwulf with 50kg at $26. Has gone to a new level but tested in this grade. | |||
| 5. Autumn Glow (4) J: James McDonald 57kg 13×11 T: Chris Waller | |||
| Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up favourite; won by 1.4 len in the G1 Winx Stakes at this track on August 22 over 1400m on a soft track defeating Sheza Alibi with 57kg at $1.70. Last start favourite; won by 1.3 len in the G2 7 Stakes at this track on September 19 over 1600m defeating Aeliana carrying 57kg at $1.16. Champion mare who will need to be on her game. | |||
Latest King Charles III Stakes 2026 Odds
King Charles III Stakes 2026 Odds
| 1. Ceolwulf (1) J: Chad Schofield 59kg x5232 T: Joseph Pride | |||
| Recent form sound. Most recently 2nd of 16 in the G1 Epsom Handicap at this track on October 3 over 1600m, on a slow track; 1.75 len behind God’s Window with 59kg at $9.50. The race before that 3rd in a small field in the G2 7 Stakes at this track on September 19 over 1600m, 1.5 len behind Autumn Glow carrying 59kg at $15. Ready to win and ticks plenty of boxes today. | |||
| 2. God’s Window (2) J: Siena Grima 59kg 23×51 T: Chris Waller | |||
| Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 5th of 13 in a G2 Theo Marks Stakes at Rosehill on September 12 over 1300m, 2.25 len behind Skyhook with 53kg at $41. Second-up was well back until straightening; raced back then made ground from the turn; won by 1.75 len in the G1 Epsom Handicap at this track on October 3 over 1600m on a rain affected track defeating Ceolwulf with 50kg at $26. Has gone to a new level but tested in this grade. | |||
| 3. Just Folk (3) J: Jamie Mott 59kg 32322 T: Gavin Bedggood | |||
| Form hard to fault. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 in the LR Paris Lane Stakes at Flemington on October 3 over 1400m, on heavy track; 1.3 len behind Cote Atlantique with 59kg at $9. The run before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 16 in a LR Heatherlie Stakes at Caulfield on August 29 over 1700m, on a slow track; 0.8 len behind Kingswood with 59kg at $11. Conditions suit and can sneak into the minor money. | |||
| 4. Militarize (5) J: Zac Purton 59kg 3×606 T: Chris Waller | |||
| Most recently 6th of 8 in the G2 Hill Stakes at Rosehill on October 10 over 1900m, 2.5 len behind Attrition with 59kg at $5.50. The start before that 10th of 16 in the G1 Epsom Handicap at this track on October 3 over 1600m, slow going 4 len behind God’s Window carrying 53.5kg at $61. Back in trip on the quick backup, value contender. | |||
| 5. Autumn Glow (4) J: James McDonald 57kg 13×11 T: Chris Waller | |||
| Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up favourite; won by 1.4 len in the G1 Winx Stakes at this track on August 22 over 1400m on a soft track defeating Sheza Alibi with 57kg at $1.70. Last start favourite; won by 1.3 len in the G2 7 Stakes at this track on September 19 over 1600m defeating Aeliana carrying 57kg at $1.16. Champion mare who will need to be on her game. | |||
| 6. Pride Of Jenni (5) Scratched: | |||