NRL Refs Stats That Matter | Round 22

Ashley Klein

• The Cowboys are 5-11 with a 5-11 cover record
• The Roosters are 14-14 with a 13-15 cover record
• Interstate teams cover 45%
• The over is 10-6 in Cowboys games

The Cowboys have a dire record under Ashley Klein but interstate teams don’t fare particularly well so no angle in this one.

Ref Lean: No Lean

Kieren Irons

• Kieren Irons is on debut

There is no referee edge in this one with Kieren Irons the second referee to make his NRL debut in three weeks.

Ref Lean: No Lean

Gerard Sutton

• Melbourne are 15-6 with a 13-8 cover record
• Canterbury are 5-10 with a 7-8 cover record
• Favourites of 4 or more cover at 55%
• The under is on a 11-2 run in Sutton games
• The under hits at 58% when an interstate 4+ fav

Veteran Gerard Sutton has been a huge under official of late and the under is particularly strong when there is a travelling favourite of at least a try.

Ref Lean: Under 42.5 @ $1.90

Jarrod Cole

• Gold Coast are 1-2 with a 2-1 cover record
• New Zealand are 2-0 with a 1-1 cover record
• The under is 8-2 in Cole’s 10 games at NRL level
• The under is 7-1 when there is a favourite of 4 or more

We are just in the infancy of Jarrod Cole’s NRL career but he has been a very big under official through the opening 10 games of his career.

Ref Lean: Under 49.5 @ $1.90

Adam Gee

• Penrith are 20-2 with a 17-5 cover record
• Canberra are 10-11 with a 10-11 cover record
• The under is 14-5 in 2026
• The under hits at 58.1% when there is a double digit favourite

Penrith have an irresistible record under Adam Gee while Gee is a big under official who tends to let games play out.

Ref Lean: Penrith -9.5 @ $1.90 & Under 44.5 @ $1.90

Grant Atkins

• Brisbane are 11-12 with a 15-8 cover record
• Newcastle are 7-9 with an 8-8 cover record
• Home teams cover at 58%
• The under is 11-5 in Newcastle games

The Broncos have a tremendous record under Grant Atkins and he is one of the biggest home town officials on the books of the NRL.

Ref Lean: Brisbane -6.5 @ $1.98

Todd Smith

• Cronulla are 12-5 with a 9-8 cover record
• Souths are 5-7 with a 6-6 cover record
• The over hits at 55% in all Smith games
• Day games go over at 59.3% under Smith

Todd Smith is the leading over official and his games go over at nearly 60% in the day and considering how both teams score the over looks a tremendous bet.

Ref Lean: Over 50.5 @ $1.98

Liam Kennedy

• The Tigers are 1-6 with a 3-4 cover record
• The Eels are 7-4 with a 5-6 cover record
• Faves of 6.5 or more cover at 55%
• Teams off conceding 50+ are 7-1 against the spread

Liam Kennedy is recalled to first grade for just his second game since Round 10. The Eels have a good record on his watch and there is a lean to big favourites.

Ref Lean: Parramatta -7.5 @ $1.85