Waverley hosts an eight-race card on Friday, with the track rated a Soft7 and the rail out 1m from the crossing to the 1600m, then true the remainder. Conditions are clear for the duration of raceday, therefore the track should continue to improve as the day goes on.
Mitch Davis has been through the form guide and speed maps and has provided his race analysis and betting strategy for each of the eight races at the Waverley meeting on Friday 13 November below:
Securer (#1) comes here off a debut win at Otaki a fortnight ago, where he led and kicked away to score comfortably in 3yo company. He maps to lead again from a wide gate, with Bruno Queiroz likely to try and replicate the tactics that saw them winning last start. He should only need to repeat that effort to be winning here. Hard to beat.
| 1. Securer (7)SCRATCHED: | |||
Jachimo (#2) worked home nicely from midfield to grab 3rd, beaten 2L, at Trentham just under three weeks ago. That was a good run first-up after over 5 months between runs without a trial, and he may have just peaked late. Now second-up he looks suited getting out over 1650m with that run under his belt. He maps to settle handy to the speed under Samantha Collett, where he should be a couple of pairs in front of the favourite Arrazola. Should take some beating if that eventuates.
| 2. Jachimo (3) 58.5kg725×3 |
Joan’s Joker (#1) loomed up to win the race from at Otaki a fortnight ago, but just couldn’t put the leader away and went down by a nose in 2nd. He maps to settle back of midfield from a wider draw, in a race that only looks to have an even tempo engaged. Tom Wigram takes the reins, and his 3kg claim helps offset the 60kg impost. Should be thereabouts at the business end again in an even field.
| 1. Joan’s Joker (7) 57kg04022 |
Manolete (#2) resumes for the Cody Cole stable, last seen finishing 4th at Ellerslie back in June. He comes here first-up without a trial, which isn’t unusual for the stable. He maps to settle handy to the speed under Samantha Collett, where he may well end up tagging the likely leader Bodacious Kate throughout. He has form around the right horses last prep to suggest he would take some beating if he ran up to those efforts here.
| 2. Manolete (3) 59kg4214x |
Amazing Son (#4) sat ahead of midfield off a strong speed at Otaki a fortnight ago, where he loomed up turning in but just fought late, not beaten far into 4th. He looks well placed down in the weights here, whilst any cut out of the ground here will only play into his hands. He maps to settle ahead of midfield again off a genuine tempo, where he should be afforded every chance from a favourable low draw. A progressive horse who can bounce back to winning form here.
| 4. Amazing Son (3) 55kg12734 |
Midnight Train (#8) heads here second-up off a 6th at Te Rapa less than three weeks ago, where he got back and ran on strongly late without threatening. That first-up run was a great pointer to him looking for 1400m at his next start here. He maps to settle closer from the middle draw, where I expect George Rooke will look for cover around midfield. He can run an improved race and go close in this.
| 8. Midnight Train (6) 57kg225×6 |
Girl Talk (#9) got back and ran on late without threatening in the Gr.3 Thompson Handicap at Trentham just under three weeks ago, finishing 10th in a race where those back and wide couldn’t get into it. She maps to settle back in the field again from the wide draw, off what looks likely to be a genuine tempo with Tobias pushing forward from a wide gate. Should be hitting the line hard late if overdo it in front, an improved effort here wouldn’t surprise.
| 9. Girl Talk (14) 55kg1×230 |
Porotene Tiger (#16) sat just off the speed throughout in a genuinely run race here almost four weeks ago, where he loomed turning for home but only battled late to finish 9th. He maps to settle handy to the speed again from a favourable low draw. A tired track late in the day in the worst end of the Soft range would be right up his alley. Can bounce back at odds.
| 16. Porotene Tiger (2)SCRATCHED: | |||


