Lebanon line up against Tonga at CommBank Stadium in Sydney on Friday 23 October (10:05pm NZDT). Here’s our Round 2 prediction and the best bets at TAB.
These nations experienced very different openings to the World Cup with Tonga decimating England in a very impressive showing in Perth where the 30-12 final was not nearly reflective of their dominance. Lebanon were disappointing losing 42-18 to Papua New Guinea in Port Moresby in a match they opened 24.5-point underdogs and were bet into +8.5. There is absolutely no doubt this line is an overreaction to the four minuses covering in the final four matches. Lebanon had covered its eight prior World Cup matches prior to the Kumiuls loss and playing at CommBank is far more suitable than Port Moresby. These teams met in the 2017 World Cup and a heavily favoured Tonga won by just two points. Tonga put Cook Islands to the sword last World Cup but only rolled Wales 32-6. Jason Saab is an incredible price. He has 88 tries in 129 NRL games. Tolutau Koula is an elite tryscorer who scored against England and now has four tries in his last nine internationals. Haumole Olakau’atu is a wrecking ball who scored twice against England and has 50 tries in his NRL career.
Tips
Best: Lebanon +45.5 ($1.90)
Next: Lebanon +30.5 ($3.40)
Tryscorer: Jason Saab ($34 First, $4.40 Anytime)
SGM: Jason Saab Try/Tolutau Koula Try/Haumole Olakau’atu Try ($11.67)
Tonga vs Lebanon Odds & Popular Betting Markets
Here’s a quick look at the current odds and popular betting markets for the Tonga vs Lebanon matchup.
*odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change
| Team | Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Jojo Fifita (Tonga XIII) | 6.00 | Bet Now |
| Sione Katoa (Tonga XIII) | 5.50 | Bet Now |
| Tolutau Koula (Tonga XIII) | 7.50 | Bet Now |
| Paul Alamoti (Tonga XIII) | 8.75 | Bet Now |
| Leka Halasima (Tonga XIII) | 8.50 | Bet Now |
| Haumole Olakau'atu (Tonga XIII) | 8.75 | Bet Now |
| Lehi Hopoate (Tonga XIII) | 9.75 | Bet Now |
| Tuimoala Lolohea (Tonga XIII) | 16.00 | Bet Now |
| Kulikefu Finefeuiaki (Tonga XIII) | 19.00 | Bet Now |
| Isaiya Katoa (Tonga XIII) | 23.00 | Bet Now |
| Salesi Foketi (Tonga XIII) | 23.00 | Bet Now |
| Addin Fonua-Blake (Tonga XIII) | 23.00 | Bet Now |
| Stefano Utoikamanu (Tonga XIII) | 23.00 | Bet Now |
| Jason Taumalolo (Tonga XIII) | 31.00 | Bet Now |
| Soni Luke (Tonga XIII) | 31.00 | Bet Now |
| Taniela Paseka (Tonga XIII) | 31.00 | Bet Now |
| Demitric Vaimauga (Tonga XIII) | 34.00 | Bet Now |
| Jason Saab (Lebanon) | 34.00 | Bet Now |
| Jacob Kiraz (Lebanon) | 41.00 | Bet Now |
| Jordan Samrani (Lebanon) | 41.00 | Bet Now |
Men's World Cup odds correct as of 21/10/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 23/10/2026 10:05pm NZDT.