The TAB has Show County Quality tips and predictions for the big race at Randwick on Saturday, which is the curtain raiser to the Group 1 Winx Stakes.
Show County Quality odds have an even contest for punters, and it could be a tightly-run race over 1200m.
Soothsayer is up and running this preparation, which could make a big difference. The 7YO gelding won at Eagle Farm before scoring at Ipswich last start, and Queensland form has stacked up well this year.
He has yet to face a field of this nature, but he has long been a good bet for punters. He owns seven wins and four placings from only 19 starts, so his strike rate is impressive, and he shouldn’t go under the radar.
Our Show County Quality predictions are happy to include him at the odds. He doesn’t mind the sting out of the track, and if the track improves to a good surface, that doesn’t worry him in the slightest.
The inside draw with Rachel King riding is ideal, so leave him out at your peril.
| 9. Soothsayer (1) J: Rachel King 56kg 2411xT: Michael Freedman | |||
| Gelding back from a spell of nine weeks. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation by long-neck Ipswich LR Eye Liner June 20 over 1350m slow track defeating La Roja carrying 53kg at $8. When resuming last campaign second of 12 at Eagle Farm Bm85 April 18 over 1200m, a neck behind Cosmo Centaurus carrying 57kg at $17. Has claims with residual fitness on his side. | |||
He’s a progressive runner who looks capable of taking another step forward this preparation. Although he has just four career wins to his name, he has already proven he can measure up to this level.
The market has been encouraging, with solid support arriving throughout the week. He opened at $7.50 and has been well backed since, which is a significant move for a horse resuming from a spell.
He looked good when winning a recent Rosehill trial, which adds to our confidence levels, and it’s enough to include him as a value bet with Show County Quality predictions. He is a crafty type who rarely runs a bad race.
| 7. Matcha Latte (5) J: Ashley Morgan 57kg 3613xT: Nacim Dilmi | |||
| Resuming after a break of four-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation third of 15 at this track Prov-Mid Champ April 11 over 1400m, 3.5 len behind Lord Of Biscay with 56kg at $4. Previously first up; third of 9 at this track in the LR Carrington January 24 over 1400m, 0.8 len behind Sandpaper with 56kg at $6.50. Back in good shape but likely to find this short of his best. | |||
Kris Lees takes Infancy to Randwick, a track where the gelding has built a solid record with two wins and three placings.
The market hasn’t shown much enthusiasm for him, but his lack of form on wet ground goes a long way towards explaining that. He has only managed two placings from six attempts on soft or worse surfaces, so a drying track should bring him much closer to his best.
His latest run also deserves plenty of respect. Infancy finished just 2.9 lengths behind Group 1 winner Splash Back last start, and something close to that would be enough to go close in this race.
At double-figure odds, Infancy is a runner worth including in first-four and SRM bets.
| 5. Infancy (3) J: Dylan Gibbons 57.5kg 02896T: Kris Lees | |||
| Dual acceptor. Comes here off a 56-day let-up. Last start 6th of 17 in the G1 Tattersall’s Tiara at Eagle Farm on June 27 over 1400m, slow going 3 len behind Splash Back with 57kg at $81. Before that 9th of 11 in the LR Bob Charley (June) Stakes at this track on June 6 over 1100m, slow going 2.75 len behind Wanaruah with 56.5kg at $26. Prepared to risk on recent form. | |||
Punters get value odds with our Show County Quality SRM, which includes our three selected runners.
We have Soothsayer Top 3, Macha Latte Top 4, and Infancy Top 4, which pays a generous $10.50 at TAB.
Punters get value odds for Infancy to run in the Top 4 at $2.60, which provides a big boost to same-race multi odds.
| 5. Infancy (3) J: Dylan Gibbons 57.5kg 02896T: Kris Lees | |||
| Dual acceptor. Comes here off a 56-day let-up. Last start 6th of 17 in the G1 Tattersall’s Tiara at Eagle Farm on June 27 over 1400m, slow going 3 len behind Splash Back with 57kg at $81. Before that 9th of 11 in the LR Bob Charley (June) Stakes at this track on June 6 over 1100m, slow going 2.75 len behind Wanaruah with 56.5kg at $26. Prepared to risk on recent form. | |||
| 7. Matcha Latte (5) J: Ashley Morgan 57kg 3613xT: Nacim Dilmi | |||
| Resuming after a break of four-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation third of 15 at this track Prov-Mid Champ April 11 over 1400m, 3.5 len behind Lord Of Biscay with 56kg at $4. Previously first up; third of 9 at this track in the LR Carrington January 24 over 1400m, 0.8 len behind Sandpaper with 56kg at $6.50. Back in good shape but likely to find this short of his best. | |||
| 9. Soothsayer (1) J: Rachel King 56kg 2411xT: Michael Freedman | |||
| Gelding back from a spell of nine weeks. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation by long-neck Ipswich LR Eye Liner June 20 over 1350m slow track defeating La Roja carrying 53kg at $8. When resuming last campaign second of 12 at Eagle Farm Bm85 April 18 over 1200m, a neck behind Cosmo Centaurus carrying 57kg at $17. Has claims with residual fitness on his side. | |||