NRL Refs Stats That Matter | Round 15

Grant Atkins

• Souths are 6-13 with a 6-13 cover record
• Brisbane are 11-10 with a 14-7 cover record
• The over has hit in six of the last 10 Atkins games
• The over hits at 55.4% when a 6.5+ favourite
• The over hits at 56.6% when a Top 8 team plays a team outside the Top 8

Grant Atkins is a big over official who has certainly skewed over of late and when strong teams play weaker teams. Souths have a dire record on his watch while the Broncos are an outstanding cover team when he officiates.

Ref Lean: Brisbane +6.5 (Small) @ $1.83 & Over 50.5 (Big) @ $1.90

Todd Smith

• The Dolphins are 8-3 with a 9-2 cover record
• The Roosters are 8-6 with an 8-6 cover record
• The over is 7-4 on Dolphins games
• The over hits at 55% in all Smith games

Todd Smith is an elite over official while the Dolphins have an incredible record when Smith has the whistle.

Ref Lean: Dolphins -5.5 (Small) @ $1.90 & Over 50.5 (Small) @ $1.90

Gerard Sutton

• The Warriors are 3-7 with a 3-7 cover record
• Cronulla are 12-8 with an 11-9 cover record
• Favourites cover at 54%
• Favourites of 8 or more cover at 61%

This is typically an excellent spot for the Warriors with big favourites thriving under Gerard Sutton but given their poor record this has become a no lean game.

Ref Lean: No Lean

Ziggy Przeklasa-Adamski

• Parramatta are 1-1 with a 0-2 cover record
• Canberra are 0-1 with a 0-1 cover record
• The under hits in 61% of all matches
• The under hits at 67% with a home underdog

We are only early into the career of Ziggy Przeklasa-Adamski but he has proven a strong under official.

Ref Lean: Under 49.5 (Big) @ $1.90

Wyatt Raymond

• Wests Tigers are 3-5 with a 4-4 cover record
• Gold Coast are 2-5 with a 3-4 cover record
• The under is 5-2 in Gold Coast games
• The over hits at 59.1% in day games

Wyatt Raymond provides no real edges in this game though the over is close to a bet based on his officiating in day games.

Ref Lean: No lean