Week 5 opens up with an always salivating NFC West matchup between the Niners and the Rams before a key London game will decide the fates of the struggling Vikings and Browns. Baltimore’s season hangs in the balance as they try to beat Houston as a home underdog without Lamar Jackson while the high watermark of the weekend sees the Eagles host the Broncos in the early slate before the Commanders and Chargers square off in the late window.
Four Line Bets To Play
This is a great spot for Dallas with Dak Prescott 32-18-1 against the spread v sub .500 teams while Justin Fields is 6-18-1 against the spread when an opponent scores 20 or more, a number Dallas has hit in three of four this year.
Teams off trailing by 18 or more at home are 106-86-3 against the spread the following week while Baker Mayfield is on a 15-8 cover record as a underdog.
Detroit have covered at an historic 70.4% the last five years, the greatest five-year betting record by some margin, with the Lions 21-7-1 against the spread off a win.
The Chiefs are 10-4-1 against the spread on the road with Mahomes at QB and the ball club an underdog or favoured by less than six. Mahomes has covered four of five against the Jags.
Best Underdog
Saints QB Spencer Rattler is currently tied for third for the most losses to start a career for a starting QB with 10 while underdogs who rush the ball 40-plus times like the Giants did last week cover at 57% so very keen the Giants.
Top Totals
Baltimore’s key offensive weapon Lamar Jackson is out and the under has hit in 16 of 23 Houston games and is 8-1-1 when the Texans are heading into their bye.
The over is 32-18 when both teams meet off a night game.
The over is 18-9 when teams are off back-to-back losses of 24-plus and the Lions possess one of the best offenses in the NFL
Prime Time Plays
Kyle Shanahan has covered five of six on the road against rival Sean McVay while teams off turning the ball over four or more times cover at 58%.
Favourites are 32-19 against the spread in international games while pre-bye teams who are favoured overseas are 13-5 against the number.
Home teams off being favoured by 14.5 or more are 21-13 against the spread the following week and Buffalo always lift for the Patriots.
The Chiefs are 10-4-1 against the spread on the road with Mahomes at QB and the ball club an underdog or favoured by less than six. Mahomes has covered four of five against the Jags.
SGM of the Week
Jahmyr Gibbs is the most dynamic tailback in the NFL and has six multi-touchdown games in the last two years across 22 games. Amon-Ra St Brown has six touchdowns in four games with 27 catches on 32 targets.
Multis
The Giants are the top underdog play, the Cowboys are a best bet and the under in the Texans-Ravens clash is the top total of the week. Philadelphia are 15-5 against the spread as a home underdog or favourite of six or less.
Road teams off scoring three or fewer cover at 59% so the Titans are a play despite being the worst team in football. The Bucs and Lions ae both listed amongst the best bets for the week.
George Pickens has been an absolute beast since moving to the Cowboys and with Ceedee Lamb out he is the clear WR1. He has four touchdowns in his last three games. Jalen Hurts has already run for four touchdowns this season. Cam Skattebo has two touchdowns and the Giants are going to run, run, run against the Saints.