{"id":32764,"date":"2026-09-30T08:39:07","date_gmt":"2026-09-29T19:39:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/?p=32764"},"modified":"2026-09-30T08:39:08","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T19:39:08","slug":"nrl-nrlw-refs-stats-that-matter-grand-finals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/2026\/09\/nrl-nrlw-refs-stats-that-matter-grand-finals\/","title":{"rendered":"NRL &amp; NRLW Refs Stats That Matter | Grand Finals"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>If you\u2019re not factoring in the referee, you\u2019re missing an edge. Nick Tedeschi breaks down the key officiating trends that matter for this weekend&#8217;s Preliminary Finals.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n<style>.wp-block-entain-sport-takeover-banner-block_311cbd99492c124536851239c8f3ea95{--background-image: url('https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Knights_1200x675.jpg');}.wp-block-entain-sport-takeover-banner-block_311cbd99492c124536851239c8f3ea95{\n            --overlay-bottom: rgba(14, 17, 43, 1); \n            --overlay-top: rgba(14, 17, 43, 0);\n            }<\/style><div data-league=\"NRL\" data-event=\"nrl-20261113110\" data-market=\"null\" data-sport=\"rugby_league\" class=\"sport-takeover-banner wp-block-entain-sport-takeover-banner-block_311cbd99492c124536851239c8f3ea95 sport-data\">    <section class=\"sport-takeover-banner__wrapper\">\n        <div class=\"origin-banner__inner\">\n\n            <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__details\">\n                <!-- Change data-countdown-to to your event date\/time. -->\n                <div\n                    class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown\"\n                    data-countdown-to=\"2026-10-04T08:30:00Z\"\n                    aria-label=\"Event countdown\">\n                    <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item\" data-days-wrapper>\n                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item__number\" data-countdown-days>0<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item__label\">Days<\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n\n                    <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item\">\n                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item__number\" data-countdown-hours>0<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item__label\">Hours<\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n\n                    <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item\">\n                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item__number\" data-countdown-minutes>0<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item__label\">Mins<\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n\n                    <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item\">\n                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item__number\" data-countdown-seconds>0<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item__label\">Secs<\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n\n                <h3 class=\"sport-takeover-banner__title\">NRL<\/h3>\n                <p class=\"sport-takeover-banner__meta\">Accor Stadium &bull; Sunday 4th Oct<\/p>\n            <\/div>\n\n            <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__teams\">\n                <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team sport-takeover-banner__team--one\">\n                                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team__logo\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team__image\">\n                            <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrl\/sydney-roosters-vs-newcastle-knights\/357d84d0-de39-47b8-bace-a3094819b5b0\" class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team__link\">\n                                <svg id=\"\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" viewBox=\"0 0 32 32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" class=\"sprite-icon\"><!----> <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/plugins\/lads-sports-data\/assets\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg#sydney-roosters\"><\/use> <\/svg> \n                            <\/a>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team__name\">Sydney Roosters <\/div>\n                    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrl\/sydney-roosters-vs-newcastle-knights\/357d84d0-de39-47b8-bace-a3094819b5b0\" class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team__odds\">$1.44<\/a>\n                <\/div>\n\n                <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__teams__vs\">vs<\/div>\n\n                <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team sport-takeover-banner__team--two\">\n                                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team__logo\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team__image\">\n                            <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrl\/sydney-roosters-vs-newcastle-knights\/357d84d0-de39-47b8-bace-a3094819b5b0\" class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team__link\">\n                                <svg id=\"\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" viewBox=\"0 0 32 32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" class=\"sprite-icon\"><!----> <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/plugins\/lads-sports-data\/assets\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg#newcastle-knights\"><\/use> <\/svg> \n                            <\/a>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team__name\">Newcastle Knights <\/div>\n                    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrl\/sydney-roosters-vs-newcastle-knights\/357d84d0-de39-47b8-bace-a3094819b5b0\" class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team__odds\">$2.80<\/a>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__disclaimer\">NRL odds correct as of 30\/09\/2026 and subject to change. <\/div>\n            \n        <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n    <\/div>\n\n<section class=\"entain-block teams-tip-block hoverable\">\n  <div class=\"teams-tip-header\">\n    <div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta\">\n      <!--div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta__inner\"-->\n        <div class=\"team-vs-team\" style=\"display:flex\">\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20260924a#sydney-roosters\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n          <div style=\"display:flex; flex-direction:row; flex-wrap:wrap; justify-content:center; align-items:center; text-align:center; column-gap:5px; font-weight: 700\">\n            <div class=\"team_1\" style=\"flex-direction:column;\">Sydney Roosters<\/div>\n            <div class=\"versus\" style=\"font-weight:normal;font-style:italic;\">vs<\/div>\n            <div class=\"team_2\">Sydney Roosters<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"info\">9:30pm Sunday | Accor Stadium, Sydney<\/div>\n                                    <div class=\"bet-on\" style=\"margin-top:0\">Ref Lean: Sydney Roosters -6.5 (Big), Under 42.5 (Small)<\/div>\n                                  <\/div>\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20260924a#sydney-roosters\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n        <\/div>\n      <!--\/div -->\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n      <div class='teams-tip-content'>\n      <p><strong>Adam Gee<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u00a0The Roosters are 20-10 with a 15-15 over record<\/li>\n<li>\u00a0The Knights are 4-7 with a 7-4 cover record<\/li>\n<li>Favourites of 6.5 or more cover at 54%<\/li>\n<li>\u00a0Top 4 teams cover at 62%<\/li>\n<li>Top 4 teams against 5th or worse cover at 71%<\/li>\n<li>Teams off a win of 13+ cover at 56%<\/li>\n<li>The under is 16-11 in 2026<\/li>\n<li>The under hits at 54% when there is a favourite of 6.5 or more<\/li>\n<li>The under hits at 54% at Accor<\/li>\n<li>The last nine finals games refereed by Gee have reached 38 points<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>Adam Gee has been named to officiate his second Grand Final. Elite teams thrive under Gee against the market so the Roosters can be bet with complete confidence. He is naturally a huge under official so expect points to be hard to come by though finals games under his watch have been high scoring.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Ref Lean:<\/strong> Sydney Roosters -6.5 (Big), Under 42.5 (Small)<\/p>\n        <div class=\"teams-tip-button\">\t\t\t\n          <a class=\"track-me btn-standard bet-now-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrl\/sydney-roosters-vs-newcastle-knights\/357d84d0-de39-47b8-bace-a3094819b5b0\" target=\"_blank\" \n          data-tr-event=\"blog\" data-tr-method=\"bet now button\" data-tr-action=\"open sport_event\" data-tr-label=\"357d84d0-de39-47b8-bace-a3094819b5b0\" data-tr-event-id=\"357d84d0-de39-47b8-bace-a3094819b5b0\"  \n          >Bet Now<\/a>\n        <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n  <\/section>\n\n\n<style>.wp-block-entain-sport-takeover-banner-block_0b0850624df0b285c98a74da11b670f3{--background-image: url('https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Roosters-Women-NRLW_1200x675-1.jpg');}.wp-block-entain-sport-takeover-banner-block_0b0850624df0b285c98a74da11b670f3{\n            --overlay-bottom: rgba(14, 17, 43, 1); \n            --overlay-top: rgba(14, 17, 43, 0);\n            }<\/style><div data-league=\"NRLW\" data-event=\"nrl-20261611410\" data-market=\"null\" data-sport=\"rugby_league\" class=\"sport-takeover-banner wp-block-entain-sport-takeover-banner-block_0b0850624df0b285c98a74da11b670f3 sport-data\">    <section class=\"sport-takeover-banner__wrapper\">\n        <div class=\"origin-banner__inner\">\n\n            <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__details\">\n                <!-- Change data-countdown-to to your event date\/time. -->\n                <div\n                    class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown\"\n                    data-countdown-to=\"2026-10-04T05:00:00Z\"\n                    aria-label=\"Event countdown\">\n                    <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item\" data-days-wrapper>\n                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item__number\" data-countdown-days>0<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item__label\">Days<\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n\n                    <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item\">\n                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item__number\" data-countdown-hours>0<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item__label\">Hours<\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n\n                    <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item\">\n                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item__number\" data-countdown-minutes>0<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item__label\">Mins<\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n\n                    <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item\">\n                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item__number\" data-countdown-seconds>0<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__countdown-item__label\">Secs<\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n\n                <h3 class=\"sport-takeover-banner__title\">NRLW<\/h3>\n                <p class=\"sport-takeover-banner__meta\">Accor Stadium &bull; Sunday 4th Oct<\/p>\n            <\/div>\n\n            <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__teams\">\n                <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team sport-takeover-banner__team--one\">\n                                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team__logo\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team__image\">\n                            <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrlw\/sydney-roosters-women-vs-brisbane-broncos-women\/f7927b11-bba1-4ba0-917f-52e344e9a908\" class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team__link\">\n                                <svg id=\"\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" viewBox=\"0 0 32 32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" class=\"sprite-icon\"><!----> <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/plugins\/lads-sports-data\/assets\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg#sydney-roosters-women\"><\/use> <\/svg> \n                            <\/a>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team__name\">Sydney Roosters Women <\/div>\n                    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrlw\/sydney-roosters-women-vs-brisbane-broncos-women\/f7927b11-bba1-4ba0-917f-52e344e9a908\" class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team__odds\">$1.45<\/a>\n                <\/div>\n\n                <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__teams__vs\">vs<\/div>\n\n                <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team sport-takeover-banner__team--two\">\n                                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team__logo\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team__image\">\n                            <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrlw\/sydney-roosters-women-vs-brisbane-broncos-women\/f7927b11-bba1-4ba0-917f-52e344e9a908\" class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team__link\">\n                                <svg id=\"\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" viewBox=\"0 0 32 32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" class=\"sprite-icon\"><!----> <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/plugins\/lads-sports-data\/assets\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg#brisbane-broncos-women\"><\/use> <\/svg> \n                            <\/a>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                                        <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team__name\">Brisbane Broncos Women <\/div>\n                    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrlw\/sydney-roosters-women-vs-brisbane-broncos-women\/f7927b11-bba1-4ba0-917f-52e344e9a908\" class=\"sport-takeover-banner__team__odds\">$2.75<\/a>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sport-takeover-banner__disclaimer\">NRLW odds correct as of 30\/09\/2026 and subject to change. <\/div>\n            \n        <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n    <\/div>\n\n<section class=\"entain-block teams-tip-block hoverable\">\n  <div class=\"teams-tip-header\">\n    <div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta\">\n      <!--div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta__inner\"-->\n        <div class=\"team-vs-team\" style=\"display:flex\">\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20260924a#sydney-roosters\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n          <div style=\"display:flex; flex-direction:row; flex-wrap:wrap; justify-content:center; align-items:center; text-align:center; column-gap:5px; font-weight: 700\">\n            <div class=\"team_1\" style=\"flex-direction:column;\">Sydney Roosters Women<\/div>\n            <div class=\"versus\" style=\"font-weight:normal;font-style:italic;\">vs<\/div>\n            <div class=\"team_2\">Brisbane Broncos Women<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"info\">6:00pm Saturday | Accor Stadium, Sydney<\/div>\n                                    <div class=\"bet-on\" style=\"margin-top:0\">Ref Lean: Brisbane +7.5 (Big)<\/div>\n                                  <\/div>\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20260924a#brisbane-broncos\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n        <\/div>\n      <!--\/div -->\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n      <div class='teams-tip-content'>\n      <p><strong>Belinda Sharpe<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The Sydney Roosters are 1-0 in 2026, winning 48-10<\/li>\n<li>The Sydney Roosters are 3-1 with a 1-3 cover record over the last two seasons<\/li>\n<li>\u00a0Brisbane are 4-1 in 2026<\/li>\n<li>Brisbane are 6-1 with a 5-2 cover record over the last two seasons<\/li>\n<li>8 of 13 games have reached 46 points this season<\/li>\n<li>7 of 13 games have tallied 52 points this season<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Brisbane have a tremendous record under Belinda Sharpe\u2019s whistle including an upset win in last year\u2019s Grand Final while the Sydney Roosters severely underachieve when she officiates.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ref Lean:<\/strong> Brisbane +7.5 (Big)<\/p>\n        <div class=\"teams-tip-button\">\t\t\t\n          <a class=\"track-me btn-standard bet-now-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrlw\/sydney-roosters-women-vs-brisbane-broncos-women\/f7927b11-bba1-4ba0-917f-52e344e9a908\" target=\"_blank\" \n          data-tr-event=\"blog\" data-tr-method=\"bet now button\" data-tr-action=\"open sport_event\" data-tr-label=\"f7927b11-bba1-4ba0-917f-52e344e9a908\" data-tr-event-id=\"f7927b11-bba1-4ba0-917f-52e344e9a908\"  \n          >Bet Now<\/a>\n        <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n  <\/section>\n\n\n<section class=\"align wp-block-entain-sports-next-to-go\"><div data-league=\"NRL\" data-sport=\"rugby_league\" class=\"sport-next-to-go wp-block-entain-sport-next-to-go-block_445903a7b5c6d3a4073d188736cfb46e sport-data\"><div class=\"sport-next-to-go_wrapper\">            <div class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card\">\n                <div class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__header\">\n                                            <span class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__badge\">4 days<\/span>\n                                    <\/div>\n\n                <hr class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__divider\" \/>\n\n                <div class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__teams\">\n                    <div class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__team\">\n                        <svg id=\"\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" viewBox=\"0 0 32 32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" class=\"sprite-icon sport-next-to-go-match-card__flag\"><!----> <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/plugins\/lads-sports-data\/assets\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg#sydney-roosters\"><\/use> <\/svg>                    <\/div>\n\n                    <h4 class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__title\"><a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrl\/sydney-roosters-vs-newcastle-knights\/357d84d0-de39-47b8-bace-a3094819b5b0\">Sydney Roosters vs Newcastle Knights<\/a><\/h4>\n\n                    <div class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__team\">\n                        <svg id=\"\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" viewBox=\"0 0 32 32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" class=\"sprite-icon sport-next-to-go-match-card__flag\"><!----> <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/plugins\/lads-sports-data\/assets\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg#newcastle-knights\"><\/use> <\/svg>                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n\n                <div class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__odds\">\n                                            <a class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__option\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrl\/sydney-roosters-vs-newcastle-knights\/357d84d0-de39-47b8-bace-a3094819b5b0\">\n                            <span class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__option-label\">Sydney Roosters<\/span>\n                            <span class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__option-value\">1.44<\/span>\n                        <\/a>\n                    \n                    \n                                            <a class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__option\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrl\/sydney-roosters-vs-newcastle-knights\/357d84d0-de39-47b8-bace-a3094819b5b0\">\n                            <span class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__option-label\">Newcastle Knights<\/span>\n                            <span class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__option-value\">2.80<\/span>\n                        <\/a>\n                                    <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n<\/div><p class=\"sport-next-to-go__disclaimer\">NRL odds correct as of 30\/09\/2026 and subject to change. <\/p><\/div><\/section>\n\n<section class=\"align wp-block-entain-sports-next-to-go\"><div data-league=\"NRLW\" data-sport=\"rugby_league\" class=\"sport-next-to-go wp-block-entain-sport-next-to-go-block_9492ed1a9f9d9e13d801971624b5bc24 sport-data\"><div class=\"sport-next-to-go_wrapper\">            <div class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card\">\n                <div class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__header\">\n                                            <span class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__badge\">4 days<\/span>\n                                    <\/div>\n\n                <hr class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__divider\" \/>\n\n                <div class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__teams\">\n                    <div class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__team\">\n                        <svg id=\"\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" viewBox=\"0 0 32 32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" class=\"sprite-icon sport-next-to-go-match-card__flag\"><!----> <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/plugins\/lads-sports-data\/assets\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg#sydney-roosters-women\"><\/use> <\/svg>                    <\/div>\n\n                    <h4 class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__title\"><a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrlw\/sydney-roosters-women-vs-brisbane-broncos-women\/f7927b11-bba1-4ba0-917f-52e344e9a908\">Sydney Roosters Women vs Brisbane Broncos Women<\/a><\/h4>\n\n                    <div class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__team\">\n                        <svg id=\"\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" viewBox=\"0 0 32 32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" class=\"sprite-icon sport-next-to-go-match-card__flag\"><!----> <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/plugins\/lads-sports-data\/assets\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg#brisbane-broncos-women\"><\/use> <\/svg>                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n\n                <div class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__odds\">\n                                            <a class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__option\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrlw\/sydney-roosters-women-vs-brisbane-broncos-women\/f7927b11-bba1-4ba0-917f-52e344e9a908\">\n                            <span class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__option-label\">Sydney Roosters Women<\/span>\n                            <span class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__option-value\">1.45<\/span>\n                        <\/a>\n                    \n                    \n                                            <a class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__option\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrlw\/sydney-roosters-women-vs-brisbane-broncos-women\/f7927b11-bba1-4ba0-917f-52e344e9a908\">\n                            <span class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__option-label\">Brisbane Broncos Women<\/span>\n                            <span class=\"sport-next-to-go-match-card__option-value\">2.75<\/span>\n                        <\/a>\n                                    <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n<\/div><p class=\"sport-next-to-go__disclaimer\">NRLW odds correct as of 30\/09\/2026 and subject to change. <\/p><\/div><\/section>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-entain-hero-news\">\n<section class=\"entain-block news-block hero-news-block \">\n    <div class=\"hero-articles-grid\"><div class=\"grid-item\">      <div class=\"hero-item grid-item-0\">\n        <article class=\"hero-news-card hoverable audio post-960 post type-post status-publish format-audio has-post-thumbnail hentry category-rugby-league category-special-interest post_format-post-format-audio\">\n  <a class=\"article-wrapper track-me\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/2026\/09\/podcast-the-advantage-line\/\" arial-label=\"Read article: Podcast: The Advantage Line | 2026\" data-tr-action=\"view article\" data-tr-event=\"blog\" data-tr-method=\" hero news card\" data-tr-label=\"Podcast: The Advantage Line | 2026\" >\n    <div class=\"hoverable-thumb thumbnail__aspect-ratio thumbnail__audio\">\n              <div class=\"thumbnail-wrapper\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/maxresdefault-1-876x493.jpg\" alt=\"Podcast: The Advantage Line | 2026\"><\/div>\n          <\/div>\n          <div class=\"text-wrapper\">\n        <div class=\"content-wrapper\">\n          <span class=\"post-category\" style=\"--post-thumb-term-bg:#3d3e48;--post-thumb-term-color:var(--brand-term-light);\">Rugby League<\/span>          <h2 class=\"hero-title\">Podcast: The Advantage Line | 2026<\/h2>          <div class=\"meta\">\n\t<time class=\"updated\" datetime=\"2026-09-30T03:03:31+00:00\">Today<\/time><span class=\"author\"> &#149; TAB Staff<\/span>\n<\/div>        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <\/a>\n  <\/article>      <\/div><\/div><div class=\"grid-item\">      <div class=\"hero-item grid-item-1\">\n        <article class=\"hero-news-card hoverable  post-32776 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-rugby-league\">\n  <a class=\"article-wrapper track-me\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/2026\/09\/nrl-women-tips-preview-grand-final-2\/\" arial-label=\"Read article: NRL Women Tips &#038; Preview | Grand Final\" data-tr-action=\"view article\" data-tr-event=\"blog\" data-tr-method=\" hero news card\" data-tr-label=\"NRL Women Tips &#038; Preview | Grand Final\" >\n    <div class=\"hoverable-thumb thumbnail__aspect-ratio thumbnail__\">\n              <div class=\"thumbnail-wrapper\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Broncos-Women-NRLW_1200x675-1-876x493.jpg\" alt=\"NRL Women Tips &#038; Preview | Grand Final\"><\/div>\n          <\/div>\n          <div class=\"text-wrapper\">\n        <div class=\"content-wrapper\">\n          <span class=\"post-category\" style=\"--post-thumb-term-bg:#3d3e48;--post-thumb-term-color:var(--brand-term-light);\">Rugby League<\/span>          <h2 class=\"hero-title\">NRL Women Tips &#038; Preview | Grand Final<\/h2>          <div class=\"meta\">\n\t<time class=\"updated\" datetime=\"2026-09-30T01:27:51+00:00\">Today<\/time><span class=\"author\"> &#149; Archie Wilson<\/span>\n<\/div>        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <\/a>\n  <\/article>      <\/div>      <div class=\"hero-item grid-item-2\">\n        <article class=\"hero-news-card hoverable  post-32774 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-rugby-league category-rugby-league-tips tag-rugby-league-tips\">\n  <a class=\"article-wrapper track-me\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/2026\/09\/sydney-roosters-vs-newcastle-knights-grand-final-predictions-odds-betting-tips\/\" arial-label=\"Read article: NRL Tips &#038; Preview | Grand Final\" data-tr-action=\"view article\" data-tr-event=\"blog\" data-tr-method=\" hero news card\" data-tr-label=\"NRL Tips &#038; Preview | Grand Final\" >\n    <div class=\"hoverable-thumb thumbnail__aspect-ratio thumbnail__\">\n              <div class=\"thumbnail-wrapper\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Roosters-NRL_1200x675-1-876x493.jpg\" alt=\"NRL Tips &#038; Preview | Grand Final\"><\/div>\n          <\/div>\n          <div class=\"text-wrapper\">\n        <div class=\"content-wrapper\">\n          <span class=\"post-category\" style=\"--post-thumb-term-bg:#3d3e48;--post-thumb-term-color:var(--brand-term-light);\">Rugby League<\/span>          <h2 class=\"hero-title\">NRL Tips &#038; Preview | Grand Final<\/h2>          <div class=\"meta\">\n\t<time class=\"updated\" datetime=\"2026-09-30T01:18:49+00:00\">Today<\/time><span class=\"author\"> &#149; Nick Tedeschi<\/span>\n<\/div>        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <\/a>\n  <\/article>      <\/div><\/div>  <\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-entain-vertical-videos\">\n  <section class=\"entain-block news-section-block vertical-videos-block scrollable-block\" 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<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>If you\u2019re not factoring in the referee, you\u2019re missing an edge. Nick Tedeschi breaks down the key officiating trends that matter for this weekend&#8217;s Preliminary Finals. Adam Gee \u00a0The Roosters are 20-10 with a 15-15 over record \u00a0The Knights are 4-7 with a 7-4 cover record Favourites of 6.5 or more cover at 54% \u00a0Top 4 teams cover at 62% Top 4 teams against 5th or worse cover at 71% Teams off a win of 13+ cover at 56% The under is 16-11 in 2026 The under hits at 54% when there is a favourite of 6.5 or more The&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":51,"featured_media":27647,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,733],"tags":[],"hub_post_cat":[3],"class_list":["post-32764","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-rugby-league","category-rugby-league-tips"],"acf":{"md_tip_date":"","md_tip_date_end":"","md_market_url":"","tip_date":"30\/09\/2026","event_country":"New Zealand"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>NRL &amp; NRLW Refs Stats That Matter | Grand Finals - TAB NZ Punters Lounge<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"If you\u2019re not factoring in the referee, you\u2019re missing an edge. 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