{"id":29799,"date":"2026-06-18T07:10:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T19:10:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/?p=29799"},"modified":"2026-06-18T09:25:55","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T21:25:55","slug":"nrl-refs-stats-that-matter-round-16","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/2026\/06\/nrl-refs-stats-that-matter-round-16\/","title":{"rendered":"NRL Refs Stats That Matter | Round 16"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>If you\u2019re not factoring in the referee, you\u2019re missing an edge. Nick Tedeschi breaks down the key officiating trends that matter for Round 16.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n<section class=\"entain-block teams-tip-block hoverable\">\n  <div class=\"teams-tip-header\">\n    <div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta\">\n      <!--div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta__inner\"-->\n        <div class=\"team-vs-team\" style=\"display:flex\">\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20250815a#newcastle-knights\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n          <div style=\"display:flex; flex-direction:row; flex-wrap:wrap; justify-content:center; align-items:center; text-align:center; column-gap:5px; font-weight: 700\">\n            <div class=\"team_1\" style=\"flex-direction:column;\">Newcastle Knights<\/div>\n            <div class=\"versus\" style=\"font-weight:normal;font-style:italic;\">vs<\/div>\n            <div class=\"team_2\">St George Illawarra Dragons<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"info\">10:00pm Friday | McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle<\/div>\n                                    <div class=\"bet-on\" style=\"margin-top:0\">Under 49.5 @ $1.90<\/div>\n                                  <\/div>\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20250815a#st-george-illawarra-dragons\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n        <\/div>\n      <!--\/div -->\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n      <div class='teams-tip-content'>\n      <p><strong>Gerard Sutton<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Newcastle are 7-10 with an 8-9 cover record<\/li>\n<li>St George Illawarra are 4-9 with a 6-7 cover record<\/li>\n<li>The under is 12-5 in Newcastle games<\/li>\n<li>The under is 6-1 in his last seven games<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Gerard Sutton has been a major under ref of late &#8211; none of his last four games have gone north of 38 while six of his last seven have gone under. The under also has a great record when Newcastle play under his whistle.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ref Lean:<\/strong> Under 49.5 @ $1.90<\/p>\n        <div class=\"teams-tip-button\">\t\t\t\n          <a class=\"track-me btn-standard bet-now-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrl\/newcastle-knights-vs-st-george-illawarra-dragons\/63fb4bc0-5a78-496d-a2ff-1c6e475d4dd5\" target=\"_blank\" \n          data-tr-event=\"blog\" data-tr-method=\"bet now button\" data-tr-action=\"open sport_event\" data-tr-label=\"63fb4bc0-5a78-496d-a2ff-1c6e475d4dd5\" data-tr-event-id=\"63fb4bc0-5a78-496d-a2ff-1c6e475d4dd5\"  \n          >Bet Now<\/a>\n        <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n  <\/section>\n\n\n<section class=\"entain-block teams-tip-block hoverable\">\n  <div class=\"teams-tip-header\">\n    <div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta\">\n      <!--div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta__inner\"-->\n        <div class=\"team-vs-team\" style=\"display:flex\">\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20250815a#wests-tigers\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n          <div style=\"display:flex; flex-direction:row; flex-wrap:wrap; justify-content:center; align-items:center; text-align:center; column-gap:5px; font-weight: 700\">\n            <div class=\"team_1\" style=\"flex-direction:column;\">Wests Tigers<\/div>\n            <div class=\"versus\" style=\"font-weight:normal;font-style:italic;\">vs<\/div>\n            <div class=\"team_2\">Dolphins<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"info\">5:00pm Saturday | Campbelltown Sports Stadium, Sydney<\/div>\n                                    <div class=\"bet-on\" style=\"margin-top:0\">Under 52.5 @ $1.90<\/div>\n                                  <\/div>\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20250815a#dolphins\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n        <\/div>\n      <!--\/div -->\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n      <div class='teams-tip-content'>\n      <p><strong>Ziggy Przeklasa-Adamski<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The Tigers are 2-6 with a 4-4 cover record<\/li>\n<li>The Dolphins have not played under this official<\/li>\n<li>The under hits in 63% of all matches<\/li>\n<li>The under hits at 68% with a home underdog<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>In his fledgling NRL career, Ziggy Przeklasa-Adamski has been one of the strongest under officials and that increases when there is a home underdog.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ref Lean:<\/strong> Under 52.5 @ $1.90<\/p>\n        <div class=\"teams-tip-button\">\t\t\t\n          <a class=\"track-me btn-standard bet-now-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrl\/wests-tigers-vs-dolphins\/55b2ad32-13e7-4a61-839b-4adf3f108998\" target=\"_blank\" \n          data-tr-event=\"blog\" data-tr-method=\"bet now button\" data-tr-action=\"open sport_event\" data-tr-label=\"55b2ad32-13e7-4a61-839b-4adf3f108998\" data-tr-event-id=\"55b2ad32-13e7-4a61-839b-4adf3f108998\"  \n          >Bet Now<\/a>\n        <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n  <\/section>\n\n\n<section class=\"entain-block teams-tip-block hoverable\">\n  <div class=\"teams-tip-header\">\n    <div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta\">\n      <!--div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta__inner\"-->\n        <div class=\"team-vs-team\" style=\"display:flex\">\n          <span class=\"icon icon-border\"><\/span>\n          <div style=\"display:flex; flex-direction:row; flex-wrap:wrap; justify-content:center; align-items:center; text-align:center; column-gap:5px; font-weight: 700\">\n            <div class=\"team_1\" style=\"flex-direction:column;\">Gold Coast Titans<\/div>\n            <div class=\"versus\" style=\"font-weight:normal;font-style:italic;\">vs<\/div>\n            <div class=\"team_2\">Penrith Panthers<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"info\">7:30pm Saturday | Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast<\/div>\n                                    <div class=\"bet-on\" style=\"margin-top:0\">Gold Coast +12.5 @ $1.90 &#038; Under 49.5 @ $1.90<\/div>\n                                  <\/div>\n          <span class=\"icon icon-border\"><\/span>\n        <\/div>\n      <!--\/div -->\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n      <div class='teams-tip-content'>\n      <p><strong>Peter Gough<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The Titans are 6-8 with a 9-5 cover record<\/li>\n<li>The Panthers are 12-2 with an 8-6 cover record<\/li>\n<li>Home underdogs cover at 64%<\/li>\n<li>The under has hit in 10 straight Gough games<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Peter Gough has missed the last two weeks of action but his under streak is nothing short of remarkable at 10. Home underdogs also do very well when he is in the middle making the Titans a confident play.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ref Lean:<\/strong> Gold Coast +12.5 @ $1.90 &amp; Under 49.5 @ $1.90<\/p>\n        <div class=\"teams-tip-button\">\t\t\t\n          <a class=\"track-me btn-standard bet-now-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrl\/gold-coast-titans-vs-penrith-panthers\/18919132-5772-47a8-aec6-df334e68de62\" target=\"_blank\" \n          data-tr-event=\"blog\" data-tr-method=\"bet now button\" data-tr-action=\"open sport_event\" data-tr-label=\"18919132-5772-47a8-aec6-df334e68de62\" data-tr-event-id=\"18919132-5772-47a8-aec6-df334e68de62\"  \n          >Bet Now<\/a>\n        <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n  <\/section>\n\n\n<section class=\"entain-block teams-tip-block hoverable\">\n  <div class=\"teams-tip-header\">\n    <div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta\">\n      <!--div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta__inner\"-->\n        <div class=\"team-vs-team\" style=\"display:flex\">\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20250815a#canterbury-bulldog\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n          <div style=\"display:flex; flex-direction:row; flex-wrap:wrap; justify-content:center; align-items:center; text-align:center; column-gap:5px; font-weight: 700\">\n            <div class=\"team_1\" style=\"flex-direction:column;\">Canterbury Bulldogs<\/div>\n            <div class=\"versus\" style=\"font-weight:normal;font-style:italic;\">vs<\/div>\n            <div class=\"team_2\">Manly Sea Eagles<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"info\">9:35pm Saturday | Accor Stadium, Sydney<\/div>\n                                    <div class=\"bet-on\" style=\"margin-top:0\">Under 49.5 @ $1.96<\/div>\n                                  <\/div>\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20250815a#manly-seaeagles\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n        <\/div>\n      <!--\/div -->\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n      <div class='teams-tip-content'>\n      <p><strong>Adam Gee<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The Bulldogs are 7-6 with a 6-7 cover record<\/li>\n<li>Manly are 12-10 with a 10-12 cover record<\/li>\n<li>The under is 14-8 in Manly games<\/li>\n<li>The under is 10-3 in 2026<\/li>\n<li>The under hits at 55%when there is a favourite of 4 or more<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Adam Gee has been a major under official this year and this is a big spot for the under with Manly having a strong under record when he officiates and the under hitting when there is a sizable favourite.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ref Lean:<\/strong> Under 49.5 @ $1.96<\/p>\n        <div class=\"teams-tip-button\">\t\t\t\n          <a class=\"track-me btn-standard bet-now-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrl\/canterbury-bulldogs-vs-manly-sea-eagles\/369234ac-8683-49c2-bd91-09969ecb0869\" target=\"_blank\" \n          data-tr-event=\"blog\" data-tr-method=\"bet now button\" data-tr-action=\"open sport_event\" data-tr-label=\"369234ac-8683-49c2-bd91-09969ecb0869\" data-tr-event-id=\"369234ac-8683-49c2-bd91-09969ecb0869\"  \n          >Bet Now<\/a>\n        <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n  <\/section>\n\n\n<section class=\"entain-block teams-tip-block hoverable\">\n  <div class=\"teams-tip-header\">\n    <div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta\">\n      <!--div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta__inner\"-->\n        <div class=\"team-vs-team\" style=\"display:flex\">\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20250815a#new-zealand-warriors\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n          <div style=\"display:flex; flex-direction:row; flex-wrap:wrap; justify-content:center; align-items:center; text-align:center; column-gap:5px; font-weight: 700\">\n            <div class=\"team_1\" style=\"flex-direction:column;\">New Zealand Warriors<\/div>\n            <div class=\"versus\" style=\"font-weight:normal;font-style:italic;\">vs<\/div>\n            <div class=\"team_2\">North Queensland Cowboys<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"info\">4:00pm Sunday | One NZ Stadium, Christchurch<\/div>\n                                              <\/div>\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20250815a#north-qld-cowboys\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n        <\/div>\n      <!--\/div -->\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n      <div class='teams-tip-content'>\n      <p><strong>Grant Atkins<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>New Zealand are 5-5 with a 5-5 cover record<\/li>\n<li>North Queensland are 6-5 with a 5-6 cover record<\/li>\n<li>The over is 7-4 in North Queensland games<\/li>\n<li>The over has hit in seven of the last 11 Atkins games<\/li>\n<li>The over hits at 56% when a 6.5+ favourite<\/li>\n<li>The over hits at 57% when a Top 8 team plays a team outside the Top 8<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Grant Atkins is a big over official who has certainly skewed over of late and when strong teams play weaker teams. The over has a strong record when the Cowboys play under his whistle.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ref Lean:<\/strong> Over 50.5 @ $1.85<\/p>\n        <div class=\"teams-tip-button\">\t\t\t\n          <a class=\"track-me btn-standard bet-now-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrl\/new-zealand-warriors-vs-north-queensland-cowboys\/c33ea593-1e07-46df-92b7-792483b77fb4\" target=\"_blank\" \n          data-tr-event=\"blog\" data-tr-method=\"bet now button\" data-tr-action=\"open sport_event\" data-tr-label=\"c33ea593-1e07-46df-92b7-792483b77fb4\" data-tr-event-id=\"c33ea593-1e07-46df-92b7-792483b77fb4\"  \n          >Bet Now<\/a>\n        <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n  <\/section>\n\n\n<section class=\"entain-block teams-tip-block hoverable\">\n  <div class=\"teams-tip-header\">\n    <div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta\">\n      <!--div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta__inner\"-->\n        <div class=\"team-vs-team\" style=\"display:flex\">\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20250815a#melbourne-storm\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n          <div style=\"display:flex; flex-direction:row; flex-wrap:wrap; justify-content:center; align-items:center; text-align:center; column-gap:5px; font-weight: 700\">\n            <div class=\"team_1\" style=\"flex-direction:column;\">Melbourne Storm<\/div>\n            <div class=\"versus\" style=\"font-weight:normal;font-style:italic;\">vs<\/div>\n            <div class=\"team_2\">Canberra Raiders<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"info\">6:05pm Sunday | AAMI Park, Melbourne<\/div>\n                                    <div class=\"bet-on\" style=\"margin-top:0\">Over 50.5 @ $1.90<\/div>\n                                  <\/div>\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20250815a#canberra-raiders\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n        <\/div>\n      <!--\/div -->\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n      <div class='teams-tip-content'>\n      <p><strong>Todd Smith<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Melbourne are 9-4 with an 8-5 cover record<\/li>\n<li>Canberra are 6-9 with a 6-9 cover record<\/li>\n<li>The over hits at 55% in all Smith games<\/li>\n<li>Day games go over at 54%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Todd Smith is a leading over official and day games go over at a big enough clip to bet blindly.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ref Lean:<\/strong> Over 50.5 @ $1.90<\/p>\n        <div class=\"teams-tip-button\">\t\t\t\n          <a class=\"track-me btn-standard bet-now-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrl\/melbourne-storm-vs-canberra-raiders\/965e8229-bd55-4639-b1c8-a254dbfbaad3\" target=\"_blank\" \n          data-tr-event=\"blog\" data-tr-method=\"bet now button\" data-tr-action=\"open sport_event\" data-tr-label=\"965e8229-bd55-4639-b1c8-a254dbfbaad3\" data-tr-event-id=\"965e8229-bd55-4639-b1c8-a254dbfbaad3\"  \n          >Bet Now<\/a>\n        <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n  <\/section>\n\n\n<section class=\"entain-block teams-tip-block hoverable\">\n  <div class=\"teams-tip-header\">\n    <div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta\">\n      <!--div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta__inner\"-->\n        <div class=\"team-vs-team\" style=\"display:flex\">\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20250815a#sydney-roosters\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n          <div style=\"display:flex; flex-direction:row; flex-wrap:wrap; justify-content:center; align-items:center; text-align:center; column-gap:5px; font-weight: 700\">\n            <div class=\"team_1\" style=\"flex-direction:column;\">Sydney Roosters<\/div>\n            <div class=\"versus\" style=\"font-weight:normal;font-style:italic;\">vs<\/div>\n            <div class=\"team_2\">Cronulla Sharks<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"info\">8:15pm Sunday | Allianz Stadium, Sydney<\/div>\n                                              <\/div>\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20250815a#cronulla-sharks\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n        <\/div>\n      <!--\/div -->\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n      <div class='teams-tip-content'>\n      <p><strong>Ashley Klein<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The Roosters are 13-14 with a 12-15 cover record<\/li>\n<li>The Sharks are 11-12 with a 12-11 cover record<\/li>\n<li>Favourites have covered 10 of the last 11 Klein games<\/li>\n<li>The under is 16-7 in Sharks games<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>There are no strong angles this week under Ashley Klein though the Sharks do have an excellent under record when he is in the middle.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ref Lean:<\/strong> No Bet<\/p>\n        <div class=\"teams-tip-button\">\t\t\t\n          <a class=\"track-me btn-standard bet-now-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrl\/sydney-roosters-vs-cronulla-sharks\/c5ff4e6f-e76a-4cad-93ce-95c40b4b5b0e\" target=\"_blank\" \n          data-tr-event=\"blog\" data-tr-method=\"bet now button\" data-tr-action=\"open sport_event\" data-tr-label=\"c5ff4e6f-e76a-4cad-93ce-95c40b4b5b0e\" data-tr-event-id=\"c5ff4e6f-e76a-4cad-93ce-95c40b4b5b0e\"  \n          >Bet Now<\/a>\n        <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n  <\/section>\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>If you\u2019re not factoring in the referee, you\u2019re missing an edge. Nick Tedeschi breaks down the key officiating trends that matter for Round 16. Newcastle Knights vs St George Illawarra Dragons 10:00pm Friday | McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle Under 49.5 @ $1.90 Gerard Sutton Newcastle are 7-10 with an 8-9 cover record St George Illawarra are 4-9 with a 6-7 cover record The under is 12-5 in Newcastle games The under is 6-1 in his last seven games Gerard Sutton has been a major under ref of late &#8211; none of his last four games have gone north of 38&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":26,"featured_media":27647,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,733],"tags":[575],"hub_post_cat":[3],"class_list":["post-29799","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-rugby-league","category-rugby-league-tips","tag-rugby-league-tips"],"acf":{"md_tip_date":"","md_tip_date_end":"","md_market_url":"","tip_date":"18\/06\/2026","event_country":"New Zealand"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NRL Refs Stats That Matter | Round 16 - TAB NZ Punters Lounge<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"If you\u2019re not factoring in the referee, you\u2019re missing an edge. 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