{"id":29489,"date":"2026-06-13T05:20:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T17:20:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/?p=29489"},"modified":"2026-06-13T07:01:19","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T19:01:19","slug":"nrl-refs-stats-that-matter-round-15","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/2026\/06\/nrl-refs-stats-that-matter-round-15\/","title":{"rendered":"NRL Refs Stats That Matter | Round 15"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>If you\u2019re not factoring in the referee, you\u2019re missing an edge. Nick Tedeschi breaks down the key officiating trends that matter for Round 1<\/em>5.<\/p>\n\n\n<section class=\"entain-block teams-tip-block hoverable\">\n  <div class=\"teams-tip-header\">\n    <div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta\">\n      <!--div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta__inner\"-->\n        <div class=\"team-vs-team\" style=\"display:flex\">\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20260707b#south-sydney-rabbitohs\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n          <div style=\"display:flex; flex-direction:row; flex-wrap:wrap; justify-content:center; align-items:center; text-align:center; column-gap:5px; font-weight: 700\">\n            <div class=\"team_1\" style=\"flex-direction:column;\">South Sydney Rabbitohs<\/div>\n            <div class=\"versus\" style=\"font-weight:normal;font-style:italic;\">vs<\/div>\n            <div class=\"team_2\">Brisbane Broncos<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"info\">9:50pm Thursday | Accor Stadium, Sydney<\/div>\n                                    <div class=\"bet-on\" style=\"margin-top:0\">Brisbane +6.5 @ $1.83 &#038; Over 50.5 @ $1.90<\/div>\n                                  <\/div>\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20260707b#brisbane-broncos\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n        <\/div>\n      <!--\/div -->\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n      <div class='teams-tip-content'>\n      <p><strong>Grant Atkins<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Souths are 6-13 with a 6-13 cover record<\/li>\n<li>Brisbane are 11-10 with a 14-7 cover record<\/li>\n<li>The over has hit in six of the last 10 Atkins games<\/li>\n<li>The over hits at 55.4% when a 6.5+ favourite<\/li>\n<li>The over hits at 56.6% when a Top 8 team plays a team outside the Top 8<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>Grant Atkins is a big over official who has certainly skewed over of late and when strong teams play weaker teams. Souths have a dire record on his watch while the Broncos are an outstanding cover team when he officiates. <\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Ref Lean:<\/strong> Brisbane +6.5 (Small) @ $1.83 &amp; Over 50.5 (Big) @ $1.90<\/p>\n        <div class=\"teams-tip-button\">\t\t\t\n          <a class=\"track-me btn-standard bet-now-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrl\/south-sydney-rabbitohs-vs-brisbane-broncos\/5a013e40-0799-4e1e-87a8-eb20ad13c604\" target=\"_blank\" \n          data-tr-event=\"blog\" data-tr-method=\"bet now button\" data-tr-action=\"open sport_event\" data-tr-label=\"5a013e40-0799-4e1e-87a8-eb20ad13c604\" data-tr-event-id=\"5a013e40-0799-4e1e-87a8-eb20ad13c604\"  \n          >Bet Now<\/a>\n        <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n  <\/section>\n\n\n<section class=\"entain-block teams-tip-block hoverable\">\n  <div class=\"teams-tip-header\">\n    <div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta\">\n      <!--div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta__inner\"-->\n        <div class=\"team-vs-team\" style=\"display:flex\">\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20260707b#dolphins\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n          <div style=\"display:flex; flex-direction:row; flex-wrap:wrap; justify-content:center; align-items:center; text-align:center; column-gap:5px; font-weight: 700\">\n            <div class=\"team_1\" style=\"flex-direction:column;\">Dolphins<\/div>\n            <div class=\"versus\" style=\"font-weight:normal;font-style:italic;\">vs<\/div>\n            <div class=\"team_2\">Sydney Roosters<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"info\">10:00pm Friday | Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane<\/div>\n                                    <div class=\"bet-on\" style=\"margin-top:0\">Dolphins -5.5 @ $1.90 &#038; Over 50.5 @ $1.90<\/div>\n                                  <\/div>\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20260707b#sydney-roosters\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n        <\/div>\n      <!--\/div -->\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n      <div class='teams-tip-content'>\n      <p><strong>Todd Smith<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The Dolphins are 8-3 with a 9-2 cover record<\/li>\n<li>The Roosters are 8-6 with an 8-6 cover record<\/li>\n<li>The over is 7-4 on Dolphins games<\/li>\n<li>The over hits at 55% in all Smith games<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>Todd Smith is an elite over official while the Dolphins have an incredible record when Smith has the whistle. <\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Ref Lean:<\/strong> Dolphins -5.5 (Small) @ $1.90 &amp; Over 50.5 (Small) @ $1.90<\/p>\n        <div class=\"teams-tip-button\">\t\t\t\n          <a class=\"track-me btn-standard bet-now-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrl\/dolphins-vs-sydney-roosters\/fe7dd3a8-07d4-4c1d-abd2-47dee5cb0a99\" target=\"_blank\" \n          data-tr-event=\"blog\" data-tr-method=\"bet now button\" data-tr-action=\"open sport_event\" data-tr-label=\"fe7dd3a8-07d4-4c1d-abd2-47dee5cb0a99\" data-tr-event-id=\"fe7dd3a8-07d4-4c1d-abd2-47dee5cb0a99\"  \n          >Bet Now<\/a>\n        <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n  <\/section>\n\n\n<section class=\"entain-block teams-tip-block hoverable\">\n  <div class=\"teams-tip-header\">\n    <div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta\">\n      <!--div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta__inner\"-->\n        <div class=\"team-vs-team\" style=\"display:flex\">\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20260707b#new-zealand-warriors\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n          <div style=\"display:flex; flex-direction:row; flex-wrap:wrap; justify-content:center; align-items:center; text-align:center; column-gap:5px; font-weight: 700\">\n            <div class=\"team_1\" style=\"flex-direction:column;\">New Zealand Warriors<\/div>\n            <div class=\"versus\" style=\"font-weight:normal;font-style:italic;\">vs<\/div>\n            <div class=\"team_2\">Cronulla Sharks<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"info\">7:30pm Saturday | Go Media Stadium, Auckland<\/div>\n                                    <div class=\"bet-on\" style=\"margin-top:0\">No Lean<\/div>\n                                  <\/div>\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20260707b#cronulla-sharks\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n        <\/div>\n      <!--\/div -->\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n      <div class='teams-tip-content'>\n      <p><strong>Gerard Sutton<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The Warriors are 3-7 with a 3-7 cover record<\/li>\n<li>Cronulla are 12-8 with an 11-9 cover record<\/li>\n<li>Favourites cover at 54%<\/li>\n<li>Favourites of 8 or more cover at 61%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>This is typically an excellent spot for the Warriors with big favourites thriving under Gerard Sutton but given their poor record this has become a no lean game. <\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Ref Lean:<\/strong> No Lean<\/p>\n        <div class=\"teams-tip-button\">\t\t\t\n          <a class=\"track-me btn-standard bet-now-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrl\/new-zealand-warriors-vs-cronulla-sharks\/d303417f-a065-4689-860c-78b0483e1987\" target=\"_blank\" \n          data-tr-event=\"blog\" data-tr-method=\"bet now button\" data-tr-action=\"open sport_event\" data-tr-label=\"d303417f-a065-4689-860c-78b0483e1987\" data-tr-event-id=\"d303417f-a065-4689-860c-78b0483e1987\"  \n          >Bet Now<\/a>\n        <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n  <\/section>\n\n\n<section class=\"entain-block teams-tip-block hoverable\">\n  <div class=\"teams-tip-header\">\n    <div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta\">\n      <!--div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta__inner\"-->\n        <div class=\"team-vs-team\" style=\"display:flex\">\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20260707b#parramatta-eels\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n          <div style=\"display:flex; flex-direction:row; flex-wrap:wrap; justify-content:center; align-items:center; text-align:center; column-gap:5px; font-weight: 700\">\n            <div class=\"team_1\" style=\"flex-direction:column;\">Parramatta Eels<\/div>\n            <div class=\"versus\" style=\"font-weight:normal;font-style:italic;\">vs<\/div>\n            <div class=\"team_2\">Canberra Raiders<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"info\">9:35pm Saturday | CommBank Stadium, Sydney<\/div>\n                                    <div class=\"bet-on\" style=\"margin-top:0\">Under 49.5 @ $1.90<\/div>\n                                  <\/div>\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20260707b#canberra-raiders\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n        <\/div>\n      <!--\/div -->\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n      <div class='teams-tip-content'>\n      <p><strong>Ziggy Przeklasa-Adamski<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Parramatta are 1-1 with a 0-2 cover record<\/li>\n<li>Canberra are 0-1 with a 0-1 cover record<\/li>\n<li>The under hits in 61% of all matches<\/li>\n<li>The under hits at 67% with a home underdog<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>We are only early into the career of Ziggy Przeklasa-Adamski but he has proven a strong under official. <\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Ref Lean: <\/strong>Under 49.5 (Big) @ $1.90<\/p>\n        <div class=\"teams-tip-button\">\t\t\t\n          <a class=\"track-me btn-standard bet-now-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrl\/parramatta-eels-vs-canberra-raiders\/a2396c64-432f-4bad-9e5b-161385e0dcbd\" target=\"_blank\" \n          data-tr-event=\"blog\" data-tr-method=\"bet now button\" data-tr-action=\"open sport_event\" data-tr-label=\"a2396c64-432f-4bad-9e5b-161385e0dcbd\" data-tr-event-id=\"a2396c64-432f-4bad-9e5b-161385e0dcbd\"  \n          >Bet Now<\/a>\n        <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n  <\/section>\n\n\n<section class=\"entain-block teams-tip-block hoverable\">\n  <div class=\"teams-tip-header\">\n    <div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta\">\n      <!--div class=\"teams-tip-header-meta__inner\"-->\n        <div class=\"team-vs-team\" style=\"display:flex\">\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20260707b#wests-tigers\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n          <div style=\"display:flex; flex-direction:row; flex-wrap:wrap; justify-content:center; align-items:center; text-align:center; column-gap:5px; font-weight: 700\">\n            <div class=\"team_1\" style=\"flex-direction:column;\">Wests Tigers<\/div>\n            <div class=\"versus\" style=\"font-weight:normal;font-style:italic;\">vs<\/div>\n            <div class=\"team_2\">Gold Coast Titans<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"info\">6:05pm Sunday | Leichhardt Oval, Sydney<\/div>\n                                    <div class=\"bet-on\" style=\"margin-top:0\">No lean<\/div>\n                                  <\/div>\n          <span class=\"icon\"><svg width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"currentColor\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><!----><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/wp-content\/themes\/punters\/assets\/brand-icons\/tabnz\/svg-sports-nrl-icon.svg?v=20260707b#gold-caost-titans\"><\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n        <\/div>\n      <!--\/div -->\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n      <div class='teams-tip-content'>\n      <p><strong>Wyatt Raymond<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Wests Tigers are 3-5 with a 4-4 cover record<\/li>\n<li>Gold Coast are 2-5 with a 3-4 cover record<\/li>\n<li>The under is 5-2 in Gold Coast games<\/li>\n<li>The over hits at 59.1% in day games<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>Wyatt Raymond provides no real edges in this game though the over is close to a bet based on his officiating in day games. <\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Ref Lean:<\/strong> No lean<\/p>\n        <div class=\"teams-tip-button\">\t\t\t\n          <a class=\"track-me btn-standard bet-now-btn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/sports\/rugby-league\/nrl\/wests-tigers-vs-gold-coast-titans\/a82eb172-2c6a-4562-bdb7-d6042690ba77\" target=\"_blank\" \n          data-tr-event=\"blog\" data-tr-method=\"bet now button\" data-tr-action=\"open sport_event\" data-tr-label=\"a82eb172-2c6a-4562-bdb7-d6042690ba77\" data-tr-event-id=\"a82eb172-2c6a-4562-bdb7-d6042690ba77\"  \n          >Bet Now<\/a>\n        <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n  <\/section>\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>If you\u2019re not factoring in the referee, you\u2019re missing an edge. Nick Tedeschi breaks down the key officiating trends that matter for Round 15. South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Brisbane Broncos 9:50pm Thursday | Accor Stadium, Sydney Brisbane +6.5 @ $1.83 &#038; Over 50.5 @ $1.90 Grant Atkins Souths are 6-13 with a 6-13 cover record Brisbane are 11-10 with a 14-7 cover record The over has hit in six of the last 10 Atkins games The over hits at 55.4% when a 6.5+ favourite The over hits at 56.6% when a Top 8 team plays a team outside the Top&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":26,"featured_media":27646,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,733],"tags":[575],"hub_post_cat":[3],"class_list":["post-29489","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-rugby-league","category-rugby-league-tips","tag-rugby-league-tips"],"acf":{"md_tip_date":"","md_tip_date_end":"","md_market_url":"","tip_date":"13\/06\/2026","event_country":"New Zealand"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NRL Refs Stats That Matter | Round 15 - TAB NZ Punters Lounge<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"If you\u2019re not factoring in the referee, you\u2019re missing an edge. 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