{"id":24079,"date":"2025-11-14T09:14:59","date_gmt":"2025-11-13T20:14:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/?p=24079"},"modified":"2025-11-14T09:15:00","modified_gmt":"2025-11-13T20:15:00","slug":"2025-nfl-tips-preview-week-11","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/2025\/11\/2025-nfl-tips-preview-week-11\/","title":{"rendered":"2025 NFL Tips & Preview | Week 11"},"content":{"rendered":"
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FOUR LINES BETS TO PLAY<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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New England -13.5 (v NY Jets)<\/a>
\nHome teams on Thursday Night Football Week 9 and beyond cover at 60% while Pats coach Mike Vrabel is 27-16-1 against the spread against teams under .500.<\/p>\n

Minnesota -2.5 (v Chicago)<\/a>
\nRookie QBs cover at 73.6% when at home so this is a great spot for JJ McCarthy while Chicago have coveted just seven of 32 against the NFC North.<\/p>\n

Denver +4.5 (v Kansas City)<\/a>
\nPre-bye teams playing a division rival cover at 71% while teams off scoring 12 or fewer and winning cover at 66% the following week.<\/p>\n

Las Vegas +3.5 (v Dallas)<\/a>
\nTeams off conceding 12 or fewer and losing are on a 22-6 cover run the following week while teams who scored seven or fewer points and had 10 or fewer first downs cover at 65%.<\/p>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

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BEST UNDERDOG<\/div>\n
Washington at $2.20 (v Miami in Madrid)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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Teams who have lost four straight cover at 64% when playing a non-conference opponent, putting the Commanders in a great betting spot this week.<\/p>\n

\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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TOP TOTALS<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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Over 37.5 Houston-Tennessee<\/a>
\nThe over hits at 60% when a team is off their bye like the Titans and the total is less than 40 while the over is 26-8 this year when teams play their backup QB.<\/p>\n

Under 44.5 Kansas City-Denver<\/a>
\nThe under hits 71% when teams are heading into a bye playing a division rival while it has hit in nine of the last 12 Bo Nix games.<\/p>\n

Under 50.5 Dallas-Las Vegas<\/a>
\nThe under hits at 74% when there is a home underdog on Monday Night Football while it hits at 69% when a road team is off a bye.<\/p>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

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PRIME TIME PLAYS<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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New England -13.5 (v NY Jets)<\/a>
\nHome teams on Thursday Night Football Week 9 and beyond cover at 60% while Pats coach Mike Vrabel is 27-16-1 against the spread against teams under .500.<\/p>\n

Philadelphia -3 (v Detroit)<\/a>
\nTeams off winning when scoring 12 or fewer cover at 66% while high-octane offenses like the Lions averaging 30ppg are an awful 6-19 against the spread on Sunday Night Football.<\/p>\n

Las Vegas +3.5 (v Dallas)<\/a>
\nTeams off conceding 12 or fewer and losing are on a 22-6 cover run the following week while teams who scored seven or fewer points and had 10 or fewer first downs cover at 65%.<\/p>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

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REDZONE EARLY MULTI<\/div>\n
Minnesota -2.5\/Green Bay -7\/Cincinnati +5.5 ($7.00)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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The Vikings are one of the best bets of the week. Teams off allowing 12 or fewer and losing are 22-6 against the spread the next week so the Packers are the play. Joe Flacco has covered eight of 11 against Mike Tomlin, making the Bengals a nice play.<\/p>\n

\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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REDZONE LATE MULTI<\/div>\n
LA Rams -3\/Baltimore -7.5\/Denver +4.5 ($6.75)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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Sean McVay has dominated the Seahawks with 11 covers in the last 13 meetings. Rookie QBs getting 6.5 or more cover at just 41% so chips out the Browns making the Ravens a bet. The Broncos are one of the best bets of the week.<\/p>\n

\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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TOP TD PLAY<\/div>\n
Mark Andrews ($9 First, $2.75 Anytime)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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Mark Andrews has been very good close to the endzone of late with three touchdowns in his last two games. The Browns have conceded a receiving touchdown in half of their games this season.<\/p>\n

\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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TD MULTI<\/div>\n
Josh Jacobs TD\/Tee Higgins TD\/Davante Adams TD ($6.00)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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Josh Jacobs has nine touchdowns in his last six games. Tee Higgins has four touchdowns the last three weeks. Davante Adams has nine touchdowns in nine games.<\/p>\n

\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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SGM OF THE WEEK<\/div>\n
Ja\u2019Marr Chase 9+ Receptions\/Tee Higgins Over 59.5 Receiving Yards\/Chase Brown Over 22.5 Receiving Yards ($7.02)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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Chase has at least 10 catches in three of his last four games. Higgins has topped 60-plus in three of his last four.<\/p>\n

\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

New England -13.5 (v NY Jets) Home teams on Thursday Night Football Week 9 and beyond cover at 60% while Pats coach Mike Vrabel is 27-16-1 against the spread against teams under .500. Minnesota -2.5 (v Chicago) Rookie QBs cover at 73.6% when at home so this is a great spot for JJ McCarthy while Chicago have coveted just seven of 32 against the NFC North. Denver +4.5 (v Kansas City) Pre-bye teams playing a division rival cover at 71% while teams off scoring 12 or fewer and winning cover at 66% the following week. Las Vegas +3.5 (v Dallas)…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":26,"featured_media":4475,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"hub_post_cat":[],"class_list":["post-24079","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-american-football"],"acf":{"md_tip_date":"","md_tip_date_end":"","md_market_url":"","tip_date":"14\/11\/2025","event_country":"New Zealand"},"yoast_head":"\n2025 NFL Tips & Preview | Week 11 - TAB NZ Punters Lounge<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/2025\/11\/2025-nfl-tips-preview-week-11\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_NZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2025 NFL Tips & Preview | Week 11 - TAB NZ Punters Lounge\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"New England -13.5 (v NY Jets) Home teams on Thursday Night Football Week 9 and beyond cover at 60% while Pats coach Mike Vrabel is 27-16-1 against the spread against teams under .500. 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