{"id":18283,"date":"2025-06-01T07:10:00","date_gmt":"2025-05-31T19:10:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/?p=18283"},"modified":"2025-08-01T11:32:58","modified_gmt":"2025-07-31T23:32:58","slug":"afl-tips-preview-round-12","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/2025\/06\/afl-tips-preview-round-12\/","title":{"rendered":"AFL Tips & Preview | Round 12"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Brisbane Lions<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
Essendon<\/div>\n
9:30pm, Thursday | Gabba, Brisbane \u2022 Yuggera – Toorabul<\/div>\n
Essendon +43.5\/Under 174.5 points ($3.10)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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It took longer than expected but the Lions got back into the winner\u2019s circle with a win over the Hawks and will start big favourites for this one despite the Bombers having won 6 of their last 8. Part of that is the Bombers away form. They have won only 2 of their last 7 as an away underdog and have a poor 27% success rate at the line in all away games played in the last year. The Lions have won 9 of their last 12 as a home favourite but have covered the line only twice which suggests they are constantly overvalued by the market in this spot. The Under has held on in 75% of Lions home games in the last year and in 6 of their last 7 at home to the Bombers. It is also 4-0 in the Bombers last 4 games leading into this one.<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n\n\n
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Collingwood<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
Hawthorn<\/div>\n
9:40pm, Friday | MCG, Melbourne \u2022 Wurundjeri<\/div>\n
Under 169.5 points ($1.88)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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Despite having won 9 of their last 10 and sitting at the helm of the AFL ladder, the Pies have opened as only slight favourites against a Hawks side that has lost its last two. The Pies have won 6 of the last 7 meetings when installed as a home favourite but an 0-5 record at the line in the last 5 encounters overall is concerning. Being listed as the home team has mattered as the \u2018home\u2019 team has won 10 of the last 211 meetings. The Under has held on in the last 3 meetings hosted by the Pies and in each of the Hawks last 6 as the away team at the home of footy. The Pies have led at the first break in each of their last 7 matches and that trend will likely continue as the Hawks have scored only 20% of their points in the first term this season.<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n\n\n
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Gold Coast Suns<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
Fremantle<\/div>\n
3:20pm, Saturday | People First Stadium, Gold Coast \u2022 Yugambeh<\/div>\n
Over 169.5 points ($1.88)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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A run of three consecutive wins have helped elevate the Suns into second place on the ladder while the Dockers are knocking on the door of a spot in the top 8 following back-to-back wins of their own. The Suns have won their last 4 home games and dating further back, 6 of their last 7 as a home favourite. They have scored 100+ points in their last 3 at home with the Over hitting in all three of those games and 7 of their last 9 at home in the last year. That lines up nicely with the Dockers 8-3 Over record in their last 11 games following a win. The last quarter has been the Dockers worst this season while the Suns have scored 30% of their points in the final term. Hard to see the Suns getting run down if they lead at three quarter time.<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n\n\n
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GWS Giants<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
Richmond<\/div>\n
6:15pm, Saturday | ENGIE Stadium, Sydney \u2022 Wangal<\/div>\n
Giants -44.5 ($1.90)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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The Giants put on a clinic in front of goal in a 110-82 win over the Blues last week but the same cannot be said about the Tigers who were held to 58 points in a loss to the Bombers. Things are set to get worse for the Tigers as they have lost their last 10 away games and have come away with the points in only 1 of their last 5 as an away underdog in this series. The Over is 5-0 in the last 5 clashes between them with an average of 186.2 total match points in those games. The winning team has posted 100+ in the last four clashes and only one of the two teams stepping foot into ENGIE Stadium are capable of doing that this time around. Giants!<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n\n\n
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Sydney Swans<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
Adelaide Crows<\/div>\n
9:35pm, Saturday | SCG, Sydney \u2022 Gadigal<\/div>\n
Half Time\/Full Time – Adelaide\/Adelaide ($2.05)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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The Swans have been guilty of several poor performances this season but last week\u2019s 53-point loss to the Demons was the worst of the lot. They conceded 131 points, and this week host a Crows side that put 128 on the Eagles. The Bulldogs are the only side to have scored more points than the Crows this season with the Adelaide side averaging 101.3ppg – 21 points per game more than the Swans. History more than anything is the reason for odds being close as the Swans have won the last 6 meetings and have covered the line in 10 of the last 14. That said, the Crows have won 80% of games as the favourite in the last year and have led at the main break in 13 consecutive games as the betting elect.<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n\n\n
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Melbourne<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
St Kilda<\/div>\n
5:20pm, Sunday | TIO Traeger Park, Alice Springs \u2022 Arrernte<\/div>\n
3rd Quarter Melbourne Over 23.5 points ($1.92)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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The Demons improved to 5-1 in their last 6 with a thumping win over the Swans while the Saints continue their slide down the ladder following a third straight loss. The Demons have won and covered the line in the last 5 meetings with an average winning margin of 23.6 points in those games. The Saints have won the second quarter only twice in eleven games played this season which is where they have consistently become unstuck. It is on either end of the main break where the Dees will blow this contest wide open as they have scored more than a third of their points in the 3rd quarter.<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n\n\n
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West Coast Eagles<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
Geelong Cats<\/div>\n
9:20pm, Sunday | Optus Stadium, Perth \u2022 Whadjuk<\/div>\n
Geelong 110 Points or more ($1.90)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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It took 10 rounds for the Eagles to register their first win and backing up from that was never going to be easy. They were never in it against the Crows and the 66-point loss could have been worse. Meanwhile, the Cats kicked 20 goals in a thrilling win over the Bulldogs in a match that produced 240 points. It was the third time in as many games and 5th time this season that they posted a triple figure score which suggests that the Eagles are in trouble here. The Cats have been relentless against the Eagles in recent seasons. They have won the last 5 meetings and have scored 130+ points in 4 of the last 5 clashes. The Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings, and we can safely say that the Cats will go on with the job here.<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It took longer than expected but the Lions got back into the winner\u2019s circle with a win over the Hawks and will start big favourites for this one despite the Bombers having won 6 of their last 8. Part of that is the Bombers away form. They have won only 2 of their last 7 as an away underdog and have a poor 27% success rate at the line in all away games played in the last year. The Lions have won 9 of their last 12 as a home favourite but have covered the line only twice which suggests…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":27,"featured_media":4436,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[731,732],"tags":[715],"hub_post_cat":[],"class_list":["post-18283","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-afl","category-afl-tips","tag-afl-tips"],"acf":{"md_tip_date":"","md_tip_date_end":null,"md_market_url":"","tip_date":"01\/06\/2025","event_country":"New Zealand"},"yoast_head":"\nAFL Tips & Preview | Round 12 - TAB NZ Punters Lounge<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/2025\/06\/afl-tips-preview-round-12\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"AFL Tips & Preview | Round 12 - TAB NZ Punters Lounge\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It took longer than expected but the Lions got back into the winner\u2019s circle with a win over the Hawks and will start big favourites for this one despite the Bombers having won 6 of their last 8. Part of that is the Bombers away form. They have won only 2 of their last 7 as an away underdog and have a poor 27% success rate at the line in all away games played in the last year. 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