{"id":18125,"date":"2025-05-24T22:35:00","date_gmt":"2025-05-24T10:35:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/?p=18125"},"modified":"2026-01-05T11:10:23","modified_gmt":"2026-01-04T22:10:23","slug":"french-open-2025-women-tournament-tips-preview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/2025\/05\/french-open-2025-women-tournament-tips-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"French Open 2025 Women | Tournament Tips & Preview"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Iga Swiatek completed a three-peat of French Open victories last year and has now won 4 of the last 5 but a lot has happened in the last year for the defending champion. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

She has not won a singles title since and has been on the wrong end of some heavy losses. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

One of those came against Cori Gauff in Madrid with the American winning 6-1 6-1. Sabalenka is currently the clear no.1 with 4 finals appearances in her last 5 tournaments. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The other name to take note of \u2013 Jasmine Paolini. Last year\u2019s runner-up won the singles and doubles in Rome which makes her a legitimate threat in Paris.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Best Bet<\/div>\n
Cori Gauff ($6.00)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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Cori Gauff ($6.00):<\/em> At the end of last year Gauff made the decision with her team to make numerous changes to her game. It included altering her grip to provide more consistency on serve and tactical changes to play a more aggressive style of tennis. It has taken some time but the results have finally started to shine through \u2013 especially on clay. Made consecutive finals in Madrid and Rome in a run that includes wins over Swiatek, Andreeva and Qinwen Zhewng. The only women to beat her on clay this year are Sabalenka and Paolini (twice). Both women are in the other half of the draw while Gauff is the clear standout in the bottom half. Haddad-Maia, Navarro and Keys are the only notable threats in her corner so I am happy to pencil her in for the semi\u2019s where she could meet Andreeva who she beat in straight sets in each of the last two tournaments.<\/p>\n

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Value<\/div>\n
Jasmine Paolini ($13) & Peyton Stearns ($101)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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Jasmine Paolini ($13):<\/em> Form is one of the best indicators in women\u2019s tennis making it impossible to leave Paolini\u2019s name out of the hat. Has beaten Gauff (twice), Ostapenko, Jabeur and Shnaider during the current clay court swing which cannot be ignored. More importantly, she won the WTA1000 event in Rome and 12 months ago made consecutive Grand Slam finals at the French Open and Wimbledon. This is her best surface and she has the benefit of experience and belief \u2013 two things she lacked last year.<\/p>\n

Peyton Stearns ($101):<\/em> There is not much value about but Peyton Stearns ticks numerous boxes for someone priced at $101. Her lone WTA Tour title and both tour finals have been on clay with her recent run at the Rome Masters drawing our attention. Stearns beat Keys, Osaka and Svitolina before losing to the eventual champion (Paolini) in the semi finals. Has made the 3rd Round in each of her two prior appearances at the French Open and is in career best form. In Sabalenka\u2019s quarter of the draw which is a positive as Quarters 2 and 3 are the ones that are stacked.<\/p>\n

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Threats<\/div>\n
Iga Swiatek ($4.50), Aryna Sabalenka ($3.75), Mirra Andreeva ($6.50) & Qinwen Zheng ($19)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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Iga Swiatek ($4.50):<\/em> Based on her recent results Swiatek should not be anywhere near this list but the reality is that she has won this tournament in 4 of the last 5 years. That said, she has been a shadow of herself in the last few months. She was bageled in the opening set by Keys in Madrid only to come back and win the match. It counted for very little as she got dispatched 6-1- 6-1 by Gauff in her following match. In Rome, she beat Cocciaretto 6-1 6-0 but then bowed out in straight sets to Collins. Has a long list of tough opponents in her section including Paolini, Svitolina, Ostapenko and Rybakina. Cannot see her getting it together for two weeks.<\/p>\n

Aryna Sabalenka ($3.75):<\/em> There is no doubt that she is the best player in the world but cannot back her at this price. Her best result here is the semi finals (once) and she has failed to make it past the 3rd round in 5 of 7 attempts. Sabalenka has been in great form with 4 finals appearances in her last 5 tournaments but Qinwen Zheng, who she lost to in Rome, is in her quarter of the draw.<\/p>\n

Mirra Andreeva ($6.50):<\/em> Continue to state that she will win multiple majors but believe she still lacks a level of maturity and resilience. Lost to Gaufff in straight sets in consecutive tournaments (Madrid and Rome) and 5 of her last 7 losses have been in straight sets. When things don\u2019t go right for her, Andreeva is yet to master the ability to make tactical adjustments that will help turn the tide. This is evident against fellow top players which is where it matters with respect to winning Grand Slams.<\/p>\n

Qinwen Zheng ($19):<\/em> Played an outstanding match to beat Sabalenka in Rome which will give her a huge confidence boost, and we should not forget that she won the gold medal here last year. Is a perfect 3-0 in career finals on this surface and is one of the cleanest ball strikers on the WTA Tour. Winning 2-3 matches against top 10 opponents is what we are yet to see her accomplish.<\/p>\n

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Forgets<\/div>\n
Elena Rybakina ($29), Jelena Ostapenko ($41), Ons Jabeur ($101), Madison Keys ($41) & Jessica Pegula ($67)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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Elena Rybakina ($29):<\/em> It has been a slow start to the year for Rybakina whose only top 10 win in 2025 came against Paula Badosa in Dubai. Is not in the form needed to beat her biggest rivals and this surface does not suit her game. The target for her will be to prepare for Wimbledon where her serve makes her a genuine threat.<\/p>\n

Jelena Ostapenko ($41):<\/em> The former French Open champion has experienced a resurgence in form. She defeated Sabalenka, Swiatek and Navarro en-route to winning the title in Stuttgart but has won only 1 of her 3 matches since. Consistency has always been her biggest issue so we will be betting around her.<\/p>\n

Ons Jabeur ($101):<\/em> Is one of the most liked players on the WTA Tour but her window of opportunity has closed. Don\u2019t think she will ever get over the losses in three Grand Slam finals but that\u2019s sport at the highest level.<\/p>\n

Madison Keys ($41):<\/em> Broke through to win her maiden major at the Australian Open but has done very little since. Has posted a 5-3 record on clay this season and it will come as no surprise to hear that the French Open is her worst major with a career win percentage of 67%. The 4th round is the furthest she has progressed in her last 5 appearances in Paris. Not expecting her to feature in the tail end of tournaments until we reach the American hard court swing.<\/p>\n

Jessica Pegula ($67):<\/em> Like her countrywoman, Pegula prefers hard courts over the red dirt. Winning Charleston is fool\u2019s gold as the American clay courts do not play anything like those in Europe. This has been the case for Pegula as she has lost 4 of her last 6 matches. It is who she has lost to which is more concerning \u2013 Uchijima, Alexandrova, Mertens and Kalinskaya. She may be ranked no.3 in the world but is almost certain to drop out of the top 10 in coming months as she has a mountain of points to defend.<\/p>\n

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Upset Alert<\/div>\n
Camila Osorio ($351), Clara Tauson ($201), Alexandra Eala ($101) & Elisabetta Cocciaretto ($501)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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Have been keeping a close eye on a host of women that can go on a run in the first week and exceed market expectations. The list includes Osorio, Tauson, Eala and Cocciaretto.<\/p>\n

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Best Bets<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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Winner<\/strong>
\nBest:<\/em> Cori Gauff ($6.00)
\nValue:<\/em> Jasmine Paolini ($13), Peyton Stearns ($101)<\/p>\n

Quarter Betting<\/strong>
\nQuarter 1:<\/em> Sabalenka ($1.71), Zheng ($5.50), Stearns ($17)
\nQuarter 2:<\/em> Paolini ($4.50)
\nQuarter 3:<\/em> Badosa ($15), Muchova ($9)
\nQuarter 4:<\/em> Gauff ($1.73), Haddad Maia ($17)<\/p>\n

\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Iga Swiatek completed a three-peat of French Open victories last year and has now won 4 of the last 5 but a lot has happened in the last year for the defending champion. She has not won a singles title since and has been on the wrong end of some heavy losses. One of those came against Cori Gauff in Madrid with the American winning 6-1 6-1. Sabalenka is currently the clear no.1 with 4 finals appearances in her last 5 tournaments. The other name to take note of \u2013 Jasmine Paolini. Last year\u2019s runner-up won the singles and doubles…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":27,"featured_media":351,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,742],"tags":[435],"hub_post_cat":[],"class_list":["post-18125","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","category-tennis-tips","tag-tennis-tips"],"acf":{"md_tip_date":"","md_tip_date_end":null,"md_market_url":"","tip_date":"24\/05\/2025","event_country":"New Zealand"},"yoast_head":"\nFrench Open 2025 Women | Tournament Tips & Preview - TAB NZ Punters Lounge<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/2025\/05\/french-open-2025-women-tournament-tips-preview\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_NZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"French Open 2025 Women | Tournament Tips & Preview - TAB NZ Punters Lounge\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Iga Swiatek completed a three-peat of French Open victories last year and has now won 4 of the last 5 but a lot has happened in the last year for the defending champion. She has not won a singles title since and has been on the wrong end of some heavy losses. One of those came against Cori Gauff in Madrid with the American winning 6-1 6-1. Sabalenka is currently the clear no.1 with 4 finals appearances in her last 5 tournaments. The other name to take note of \u2013 Jasmine Paolini. 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