{"id":16613,"date":"2025-04-23T13:52:36","date_gmt":"2025-04-23T01:52:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/?p=16613"},"modified":"2025-04-23T13:52:37","modified_gmt":"2025-04-23T01:52:37","slug":"a-league-round-28-tips","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/2025\/04\/a-league-round-28-tips\/","title":{"rendered":"A-League Round 28 Tips"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\n \n
\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n
\n
Macarthur FC<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
Melbourne Victory <\/div>\n
9:35pm Friday | Campbelltown Stadium<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
\n

It\u2019s last chance saloon for Macarthur who have to win out to have any hope of making the finals.<\/p>\n

Standing in their way this weekend is a Victory side that could move up to third place (temporarily at least) with a win and needs just the one point to lock up a finals berth.<\/p>\n

The Bulls have had no troubles scoring in recent weeks with a 5-4 win in Adelaide and a 5-1 win in Brisbane as well as a 3-3 draw at home to Newcastle and a 2-2 draw in Gosford over the last month and a bit.<\/p>\n

Most concerning though is their home form which has been poor (to put it politely) with just a record of one win, four draws and four defeats, plus a loss as the \u201chome\u201d team in Unite Round.<\/p>\n

That makes the visitors the best bet in this market and there is value to be had backing another high scoring Macarthur match.<\/p>\n

BEST<\/strong>: Melbourne Victory to Win $2.10 | VALUE<\/strong>: Victory to Win and Over 3.5 Goals $4.00<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Macarthur FC v Melbourne Victory <\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n\n\n
\n
\n
\n \n
\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n
\n
Brisbane Roar<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
Wellington Phoenix<\/div>\n
5:00pm Saturday | Suncorp Stadium<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
\n

Seeing Brisbane going into a match as $1.90 favourites is a jarring sight if you have watched the Roar this season.<\/p>\n

They have won a grand total of three games all season, and even if one of those was over title contenders Western United last Thursday, can you really back them with any confidence?<\/p>\n

It\u2019s not like Wellington is in great form either with an only slightly better return this season, losing 12 of their 24 matches to date.<\/p>\n

Let\u2019s just call this head to head market a stay away and instead look for some value at the total goals market.<\/p>\n

Wellington\u2019s last four games have all had three or more goals scored and five in each of the last two, while the over has been a strong play for Brisbane as well.<\/p>\n

Two bad teams facing off, let\u2019s just back the over and hope for some entertainment because neither one is playing well enough to take here.<\/p>\n

BEST<\/strong>: Over 2.5 Goals $1.65 | VALUE<\/strong>: Over 4.5 Goals $4.40<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Brisbane Roar v Wellington Phoenix<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n\n\n
\n
\n
\n \n
\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n
\n
Newcastle Jets<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
Western Sydney Wanderers<\/div>\n
7:00pm Saturday | McDonald Jones Stadium<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
\n

Newcastle\u2019s only remaining motivation this season is playing spoiler for finals bound teams and they could really throw a wrench in Western Sydney\u2019s hopes.<\/p>\n

They have had their moments lately, first beating Central Coast 6-0 then racing out to an early 2-0 lead over Sydney FC, however they did lose that one 3-2 in the end.<\/p>\n

In fact, including that clean sheet win over the Mariners, the Jets have conceded 14 goals across their last five games and that is not a great record.<\/p>\n

Western Sydney have been scoring for fun on their ten game unbeaten run, scoring two goals on eight occasions, three goals in four matches and four goals three times.<\/p>\n

Long story short, Western Sydney can score and Newcastle can\u2019t defend, should be relative one way traffic.<\/p>\n

BEST<\/strong>: Western Sydney to Win $2.05 | VALUE<\/strong>: Western Sydney to Win and Over 4.5 Goals $6.50<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Newcastle Jets v Western Sydney Wanderers<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n\n\n
\n
\n
\n \n
\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n
\n
Melbourne City v Adelaide United <\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
Melbourne City v Adelaide United <\/div>\n
9:35pm Saturday | AAMI Park<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
\n

We might have said earlier it is last chance saloon for Macarthur, well it really is for Adelaide who were the unfortunate recipients of a Round 29 bye.<\/p>\n

Level on points with Sydney FC, the Reds have to win this game to give themselves a solid chance of playing finals football.<\/p>\n

However their recent record suggests that even a draw might be an optimistic request, with just one win from their last ten matches and just six points over that span.<\/p>\n

Compare that to Melbourne City who are unbeaten in four and have the scoring prowess to cause some problems.<\/p>\n

This one is a pretty easy call.<\/p>\n

BEST<\/strong>: Melbourne City to Win $1.80 | VALUE<\/strong>: Melbourne City to Win Both Halves $4.60<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Melbourne City v Adelaide United <\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n\n\n
\n
\n
\n \n
\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n
\n
Auckland FC<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
Perth Glory<\/div>\n
5:00pm Sunday | GoMedia Stadium<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
\n

Let\u2019s assume that Melbourne City takes care of business on Saturday night because, they should and it also sets up a far more entertaining scenario for this game.<\/p>\n

Auckland are one point away from the premiership and they have a home game against wooden spoon elect Perth Glory.<\/p>\n

The newbies will be very eager to atone for their shock 1-0 loss to the Glory in Perth back in January, although the visitors will be buzzing after a resounding 4-1 win over Adelaide in their last outing.<\/p>\n

Of course it is possible to overthink this one, but for the sake of ease, let\u2019s just take the good team to beat the bad team.<\/p>\n

BEST<\/strong>: Auckland HT\/FT Double $1.85 | VALUE<\/strong>: Auckland to Win and Under 2.5 Goals $4.33<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Auckland FC v Perth Glory<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n\n\n
\n
\n
\n \n
\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n
\n
Western United<\/div>\n
vs<\/div>\n
Sydney FC <\/div>\n
7:00pm Sunday | Ironbark Fields<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/use><\/svg><\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
\n

Should we be overly concerned about Western United\u2019s slip in results?<\/p>\n

A loss to Western Sydney is one thing, but their 2-1 defeat in Brisbane was according to John Aloisi one of their poorest performances of the year.<\/p>\n

However they have had a mini-bye over the Easter weekend to reset and refresh to prepare for the run home.<\/p>\n

Sydney on the other hand have picked up seven of a possible nine points from their last three league outings and still have to pick up something over the next two weeks to stay ahead of Adelaide.<\/p>\n

However with both sides needing something from the game, this becomes a de facto final and history says that goals become a lot more precious.<\/p>\n

I can\u2019t split these sides and am expecting this to be a relatively low scoring affair with the spoils shared.<\/p>\n

BEST<\/strong>: Under 3.5 Goals $2.00 | VALUE<\/strong>: Draw $4.00<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\n Western United v Sydney FC <\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It\u2019s last chance saloon for Macarthur who have to win out to have any hope of making the finals. Standing in their way this weekend is a Victory side that could move up to third place (temporarily at least) with a win and needs just the one point to lock up a finals berth. The Bulls have had no troubles scoring in recent weeks with a 5-4 win in Adelaide and a 5-1 win in Brisbane as well as a 3-3 draw at home to Newcastle and a 2-2 draw in Gosford over the last month and a bit. Most…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":7577,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,133],"tags":[132],"hub_post_cat":[],"class_list":["post-16613","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-football","category-football-tips","tag-a-league"],"acf":{"md_tip_date":"","md_tip_date_end":null,"md_market_url":"","tip_date":"23\/04\/2025","event_country":"New Zealand"},"yoast_head":"\nA-League Round 28 Tips - TAB NZ Punters Lounge<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/2025\/04\/a-league-round-28-tips\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A-League Round 28 Tips - TAB NZ Punters Lounge\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It\u2019s last chance saloon for Macarthur who have to win out to have any hope of making the finals. Standing in their way this weekend is a Victory side that could move up to third place (temporarily at least) with a win and needs just the one point to lock up a finals berth. The Bulls have had no troubles scoring in recent weeks with a 5-4 win in Adelaide and a 5-1 win in Brisbane as well as a 3-3 draw at home to Newcastle and a 2-2 draw in Gosford over the last month and a bit. 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