{"id":12392,"date":"2025-01-31T15:38:29","date_gmt":"2025-01-31T02:38:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/?p=12392"},"modified":"2025-01-31T15:38:30","modified_gmt":"2025-01-31T02:38:30","slug":"ufc-fight-night-preview-tips-sunday-02-february","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/2025\/01\/ufc-fight-night-preview-tips-sunday-02-february\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Fight Night Preview & Tips | Sunday 02 February"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Kicking off 11 straight weeks of events, UFC Fight Night 250 gets a busy schedule going with a compact card headlined by a former champion. Title contention hangs in the balance for Israel Adesanya and Nassourdine Imavov with the remainder of the night rounded out by high-flying prospects looking to break into the top 10.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Adesanya $1.60 v Imavov $2.35<\/div>\n
Imavov @ $1.60<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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1-3 in his last four appearances, the walls are quickly closing in on \u201cThe Last Stylebender\u201d as he attempts to right the ship. There is no downplaying the elite caliber of his opposition, but recent results have not gone his way.<\/p>\n

Though only 35-years-old, Adesanya has already lived out a long and successful career in two separate sports. He entered the UFC in 2018 with kickboxing accolades and an unbeaten record in MMA. The seven years since have birthed a globally recognized former champion with a wealth of experience.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s a cruel sport, but nonetheless one that runs on the question \u201cwhat have you done for me lately?\u201d Lately, Adesanya has appeared gun-shy, letting takedown attempts pierce through his defense and pressure get to him on the feet.<\/p>\n

For a slick, savvy fighter like Adesanya, falling into a route of offensive intermittence can be a death sentence. Put another way, he lacks the same intensity and determination he had at his best. While he continues to be a quick and accurate sniper, he has started showing real cracks in his armor.<\/p>\n

Managing to more or less keep up with the statistical output of Sean Strickland and Dricus Du Plessis are positives, but he ultimately fell prey to their determined but comparably sloppy approaches.<\/p>\n

At this point, Nassourdine Imavov is well-positioned for a breakout win and many consider this his greatest proving ground for that. 7-2 in the UFC, Imavov has had a spirited but not unblemished run since making his organizational debut in 2020.<\/p>\n

Fighting out of France but born in Dagestan, Russia, it\u2019s hard to get a bead on Imavov from only what shows on paper. That has been the case since he debuted, but is arguably even more so now as his skills have developed.<\/p>\n

Imavov entered MMA as primarily a striker and that is where he continues to wrest his most consistent success. An experienced kickboxer, Imavov fights with composure and has deceptive power to help even things out in narrow bouts.<\/p>\n

Since a loss to Sean Strickland two years ago, there\u2019s no denying Imavov has been fighting at a different level. His performances have gotten increasingly consistent, and his ability to mix up his underrated wrestling\/grappling alongside his solid striking is daunting.<\/p>\n

Both Adesanya and Imavov are capable of great things but it looks like one is heading up while the other is spiraling down. At this stage of his development, Imavov looks well-equipped to find success in multiple avenues, potentially breaking the fight open with his own takedown attempts.<\/p>\n

This is a critical fight for both men but Imavov should be able to enforce his will this weekend. I expect him to get the fight he wants at a pace he can handle, pulling away down the stretch and securing a huge win.<\/p>\n

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Shara Magomedov $1.57 v Michael Page $2.45<\/div>\n
Page @$2.45<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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The betting favorite and now 4-0 in the UFC, momentum is beginning to snowball in a real way for the man known as Shara \u201cBullet\u201d. Hot off the heels of a KO of the Year contender over Armen Petrosyan, this weekend represents another step up in competition.<\/p>\n

Known for his kicking ability, it\u2019s hard to overstate how impressive his use of kicks actually is. With a deep arsenal and a superb sense of distance, Russia\u2019s Magomedov has developed the ability to dominate fights with just kicks.<\/p>\n

Though he\u2019s capable of striking with the best at middleweight, it\u2019s worth noting that Magomedov\u2019s boxing doesn\u2019t meet the same mark. Whereas he is flexible and versatile with his kicks, Magomedov can be rather sloppy and haphazard when letting his hands go.<\/p>\n

He has certainly proven himself durable despite some defensive shortcomings but there is an air of vulnerability in his overall game. There is no doubt he will be meeting a rare fair match at UFC Fight Night 250.<\/p>\n

A prolific, albeit less controversial striking savant, Michael \u201cVenom\u201d Page has a lot in common with his foe. A slick, darting striker with incredible speed, Page carved a name for himself as a man almost impossible to beat on the feet.<\/p>\n

While it\u2019s fair to question the longevity of the 37-years-old, he has defied logic and continued to output great work as he embarks on a UFC run. He outclassed Kevin Holland in his organizational debut. His follow-up effort against Ian Machado Garry did well to showcase his striking, as he forced the Irishman to grapple.<\/p>\n

Hailing from the United Kingdom, Page is still one of the best strikers in the welterweight division but he moves up to middleweight for his contest. He intends to continue his campaign at welterweight after this, but enjoys the opportunity to stay busy and tackle a dedicated striker.<\/p>\n

Aside from the possibility of Page \u201cgetting old overnight\u201d, history provides optimistic trends in his favor. Though the underdog this weekend, he has practically never been thoroughly beaten on the feet in MMA.<\/p>\n

Page has the physical and technical ability to keep up with Shara Magomedov. His durability may be tested by the aggressive and powerful Russian, but there is little to suggest Magomedov will have an easy night here.<\/p>\n

In fact, it seems more likely Page will be allowed to fight at his pace. He is an exceptionally difficult man to pressure consistently, and I am doubtful Magomedov\u2019s kicks alone will do the job. Look for Page to exploit a speed difference \u2013 yet again \u2013 and pull away down the stretch in an entertaining kickboxing bout.<\/p>\n

\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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Sergei Pavlovich $1.32 v Jairzinho Rozenstruik $3.45<\/div>\n
Rozenstruik @$3.45<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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A new year, a new attempt at a win for Sergei Pavlovich. A decisive loss to Tom Aspinall ended his 2023, and a singular unsuccessful appearance in 2024 did little to stoke optimism. Now favored to get back on track, Pavlovich finds another reasonable stylistic pairing this weekend.<\/p>\n

A heavy-handed finisher who has essentially abandoned anything but swinging bombs, Pavlovich has fallen into a weird spot. He is still ranked #4 in the division despite not winning a fight in nearly two years, and there hasn\u2019t been much to be excited about in those showings, either.<\/p>\n

Pavlovich is surprisingly quick when he lets his hands go but he has devolved into a plodding, predictable striker with little finesse. Once upon a time he may have had more to offer, but at only 32-years-old he has appeared oddly listless.<\/p>\n

Standing across from him this weekend will be a fellow striker in Jairzinho Rozenstruik, a former professional kickboxer with a wealth of experience. Originally from Suriname, Rozenstruik has remained diligent through a tumultuous UFC stint and come out of it a very good fighter overall.<\/p>\n

Rozenstruik stays true to his roots as a striking savant but respect must be given to his developments in defensive wrestling. Despite a clear aversion to grappling, his takedown defense has crawled up to 75% over the course of his UFC run.<\/p>\n

Make no mistake though, both Rozenstruik and his foe will look to get things done on the feet this weekend. A seasoned striker with solid technical ability and underrated physicality, Rozenstruik has found a way to be effective while moderating his gas tank.<\/p>\n

Stamina played a particular part in his dominant win over Shamil Gaziev, but as a whole Rozenstruik appears well-equipped to handle the long, powerful shots of Pavlovich. This is a three round contest and I expect both to get off to a fast start, but Rozenstruik is the one who has been demonstrating consistency in recent outings.<\/p>\n

Despite his status as the clear betting favorite, Sergei Pavlovich is desperate to get back on track and needs to prove his ability to do so. As powerful as he is, Pavlovich has not let his hands go enough to win moments, let alone rounds. Though he is the longer fighter, Pavlovich is likely to be beaten to the punch and outworked here.<\/p>\n

Rozenstruik possesses the mobility and the jab necessary to keep Pavlovich at the end of his punches. A bomb is always lying in wait when Pavlovich fights, but he hasn\u2019t found the home for it recently and I suspect he will struggle again here.<\/p>\n

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Said Nurmagomedov $1.62 v Vinicius Oliveira $2.30<\/div>\n
Said Nurmagomedov @$1.62<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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Finally returning after an entire year spent out of action, Said Nurmagomedov is getting no easy match-ups in his comeback. Most recently, Nurmagomedov went 1-1 over the span of 2023, though he made a solid effort against Jonathan Martinez in a competitive bout.<\/p>\n

Nurmagomedov, of no relation to lightweight royalty Khabib, is an intriguing fighter fans should be excited to see more of this year. On paper, the majority of his finishes have come by submission but stylistically he has an affinity for striking.<\/p>\n

A particular fan of spinning attacks, Nurmagomedov is accurate when he kicks and owns deceptive power in both hands. He isn\u2019t a fighter intent on finishing foes with strikes but has the finishing instinct to close the show if the opportunity presents.<\/p>\n

A well-rounded competitor, Nurmagomedov also owns a devastating guillotine choke, having finished some variation of one several times in his career. Nurmagomedov is not an easy man to shoot takedowns on and if given the chance, he will fish for a submission with determination.<\/p>\n

Nurmagomedov has developed into an excellent fighter who simply needs activity and exposure to build real momentum. Similar has been said about Vinicius Oliveira, a Brazilian upstart with serious potential.<\/p>\n

Often referred to by his moniker \u201cLokdog\u201d, Oliveira is something of a demon inside the cage. Aggressive, versatile offense that can take the form of flying knees, lunging uppercuts, or spinning kicks, Oliveira is a high-flying finisher.<\/p>\n

Ironically, Oliveira couldn\u2019t close the show on Ricky Simon last time out but did manage to dominate the plucky dynamo. Now 2-0 in the UFC, Oliveira has already started showing signs of stabilization and maturity as his level of opposition grows.<\/p>\n

He will need all he can muster against a comparably savvy foe in Nurmagomedov. These two are likely to clash in a violent way this weekend and I anticipate the gas tanks of both being tested in a grueling affair.<\/p>\n

Oliveira has the ability to draw opponents into wars and he fights like he is totally unafraid of one. This comes at the detriment of his defense on all fronts but there\u2019s no downplaying his volatile finishing ability.<\/p>\n

Nurmagomedov is the more well-rounded fighter and certainly stands to find success if he lands takedowns, but it\u2019s unlikely he will push exceptionally hard for them. I expect this one to be contested largely on the feet, though if anyone lands in top position it should be Nurmagomedov.<\/p>\n

At the end of the day, Nurmagomedov appears to be miles ahead of Oliveira technically. Explosive finishing ability is always a welcome characteristic, but Nurmagomedov has been consistent and intelligent enough to get the benefit of the doubt here.<\/p>\n

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Muhammad Naimov $1.32 v Kaan Ofli $3.45<\/div>\n
Naimov By KO\/TKO @$3.30<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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3-1 in the UFC, Muhammad Naimov has had a solid start to his UFC run but it hasn\u2019t been without challenges. Naimov was beaten to the punch and handed a loss in his most recent appearance, falling victim to the surging Felipe Lima.<\/p>\n

Before that, Naimov managed to win with a mix of tenacity, underrated striking technique, and a hefty dose of heart. Naimov is deceptively gritty inside the cage and does particularly well when able to stand his ground or move forward.<\/p>\n

His record may overstate his power a bit, but Naimov is a capable striker with a sneakily effective clinch game. A healthy array of feints help tie Naimov\u2019s striking together, often allowing him to dictate and fight at his preferred pace.<\/p>\n

Naimov isn\u2019t a big fan of being pressured, but few fighters have been able to walk through his offense and consistently put him on his heels. Both Jamie Mullarkey and Nathaniel Wood tried, both fell behind Naimov by the final bell.<\/p>\n

That underrated versatility will aid Naimov well when he takes on Kaan Ofli. Turkish-born but fighting out of Australia, Ofli is a grappler by nature and prefers to finish things on the mat, though he seldom avoids a good brawl.<\/p>\n

Ofli first gained exposure on The Ultimate Fighter and ultimately made his organizational debut late last year in the finals of Season 32. He was finished by Mairon Santos in that bout but looks to showcase a bit more this time around.<\/p>\n

Time will be of the essence for Ofli in this contest, as he stands to be at a clear disadvantage on the feet. Though a willing striker with tenacity, Ofli\u2019s footwork leaves much to be desired and his striking defense is relatively absent.<\/p>\n

A plodding fighter with little head movement will not have success against Naimov. Wrestling will be the name of the game for Ofli and he has shown some competency in the area outside of the UFC. This weekend will represent a huge step up in competition for him, and perhaps one too big, too soon.<\/p>\n

Naimov was tackled by Felipe Lima but that is a loss assured to age well. Beyond that, Ofli doesn\u2019t bring nearly the same versatility or effectiveness to the table.<\/p>\n

Naimov should have little trouble mounting his offense and snowballing his success. I would consider it something of a victory if Ofli managed to survive all three rounds of what is likely to be a one-sided kickboxing bout.<\/p>\n

\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":28,"featured_media":338,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[273,272],"hub_post_cat":[],"class_list":["post-12392","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ufc","tag-fight-night","tag-ufc"],"acf":{"md_tip_date":"","md_tip_date_end":null,"md_market_url":"","tip_date":"31\/01\/2025","event_country":"New Zealand"},"yoast_head":"\nUFC Fight Night Preview & Tips | Sunday 02 February - TAB NZ Punters Lounge<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/2025\/01\/ufc-fight-night-preview-tips-sunday-02-february\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_NZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"UFC Fight Night Preview & Tips | Sunday 02 February - 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