{"id":10061,"date":"2024-12-19T13:38:46","date_gmt":"2024-12-19T00:38:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/?p=10061"},"modified":"2024-12-20T14:20:45","modified_gmt":"2024-12-20T01:20:45","slug":"2024-nfl-tips-preview-week-16","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/2024\/12\/2024-nfl-tips-preview-week-16\/","title":{"rendered":"2024 NFL Tips & Preview | Week 16"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

It is divisional matchup heaven this week with the Broncos and Chargers on Friday, the Steelers and Ravens on Sunday and the Lions-Bears on Monday making for a sensational Week 16. <\/p>\n\n\n

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<\/use><\/svg><\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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Four Line Bets To Play<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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Pittsburgh +6.5 (at Baltimore)<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n
The Steelers are an outstanding 35-13 against the spread as a single digit underdog under Mike Tomlin while the Ravens are 12-25 against the spread as a divisional home favourite.<\/div>\n
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Tennessee +3.5 (at Indianapolis)<\/a><\/div>\n
Favourites off turning the ball over five or more times are a horrid 8-22-1 against the spread while the Titans have finally pulled the pin on Will Levis, upgrading to Mason Rudolph.<\/div>\n
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Detroit -6.5 (at Chicago)<\/a><\/div>\n
Dan Campbell\u2019s Lions have not only won but covered their last nine when they are off a loss while Jared Goff is 14-4-1 against the spread in divisional games.<\/div>\n
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Miami -1 (v San Francisco)<\/a><\/div>\n
Miami cover at 65% when playing at home and are 30-16 against the spread against teams with a losing record.<\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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Best Underdog<\/div>\n
Washington @ $2.55 (v Philadelphia)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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The Eagles have won 11 straight but teams who have won at least 83% of games are 9-25-1 against the spread in division matchups in December\/January.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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Top Totals<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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Under 41.5 Denver-LA Chargers<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n
The under is 17-5 when the Broncos are off a double digit victory while it is 12-1 when the Chargers are home division favourites.<\/div>\n
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Under 41.5 Houston-Kansas City<\/a><\/div>\n
The under is 73-38 when the Chiefs are favoured at home the last 15 years while the under is 11-3 when the Texans play a team with a winning record.<\/div>\n
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Under 42 NY Giants-Atlanta<\/a><\/div>\n
The under is 53-27 in Giants games since 2020 while it is 19-5 when the Falcons are playing on short rest.<\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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Prime Time Plays<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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Under 41.5 Denver-LA Chargers<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n
The under is 17-5 when the Broncos are off a double digit victory while it is 12-1 when the Chargers are home division favourites.<\/div>\n
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Under 41.5 Houston-Kansas City<\/a><\/div>\n
The under is 73-38 when the Chiefs are favoured at home the last 15 years while the under is 11-3 when the Texans play a team with a winning record.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Pittsburgh +6.5 (at Baltimore)<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n
The Steelers are an outstanding 35-13 against the spread as a single digit underdog under Mike Tomlin while the Ravens are 12-25 against the spread as a divisional home favourite.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Dallas +4 (v Tampa Bay)<\/a>
\nHome underdogs cover at 59% while teams off a win on Sunday Night Football cover at 59.4%, making the Cowboys a quality play.<\/div>\n
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Green Bay -14 (v New Orleans)<\/a><\/div>\n
Home teams with four more wins than their opponent in December\/January are 76-55 against the spread when favoured by six or more.<\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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Redzone Early Multi<\/div>\n
Detroit -6.5\/Tennessee +3.5\/Washington +3.5 ($7.11)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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The Lions and Titans are listed among the best bets of the week while the Commanders are the underdog of the week so can be taken getting the 3.5 points.<\/span><\/p>\n

\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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Redzone Late Multi<\/div>\n
Miami -1\/Buffalo -14\/Las Vegas -1 ($6.90)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
\n

Miami are listed among this week\u2019s best bets. New England cover at just 35.9% so will be with Buffalo. Mac Jones is an abhorrent 2-14 against the spread as an underdog of a touchdown or less so the Raiders have to be the play.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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<\/use><\/svg><\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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Top TD Play<\/div>\n
Jonnu Smith ($12 First, $3.05 Anytime)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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Jonnu Smith has emerged as one of the best and most reliable tight ends in the NFL. It has seen him pull in five touchdown passes across the last five weeks. With 11-plus targets in three of the last four weeks, he will again be a central feature of the Dolphins offense.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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<\/use><\/svg><\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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TD Multi<\/div>\n
Ja\u2019marr Chase\/Bijan Robinson\/James Conner\/Jahmyr Gibbs ($5.05)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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Chase has eight touchdowns across his last five games. Robinson has eight touchdowns in his last nine games. Conner has three TDs the last two weeks. Gibbs has been a machine this year with 14 touchdowns.<\/span><\/p>\n

\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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<\/use><\/svg><\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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SGM of the Week<\/div>\n
Jaylen Warren Over 30.5 Rush Yards\/Justice Hill Over 15.5 Receiving Yards\/Rashod Bateman Over 30.5 Receiving Yards ($7.25)<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n
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Warren has topped 40 rushing yards in six of his last eight. Hill has at least 14 receiving yards in six of his last eight. Bateman has hit 30-plus yards in four of his last five.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\n Bet Now<\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div> \n <\/div> \n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":26,"featured_media":4476,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"hub_post_cat":[],"class_list":["post-10061","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-american-football"],"acf":{"md_tip_date":"","md_tip_date_end":null,"md_market_url":"","tip_date":"19\/12\/2024","event_country":"New Zealand"},"yoast_head":"\n2024 NFL Tips & Preview | Week 16 - TAB NZ Punters Lounge<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tab.co.nz\/punters\/2024\/12\/2024-nfl-tips-preview-week-16\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_NZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2024 NFL Tips & Preview | Week 16 - 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